Waiting for change: Adjustment and reform in Cuba

Pastor, Manuel; Zimbalist, Andrew

doi:10.1016/0305-750x(95)00009-2

Cited by 21 publications

(9 citation statements)

References 16 publications

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“…They stress that the measures have been piecemeal and heavily regulated. Pastor & Zimbalist (1995) note that the reforms do not add up to a 'coherent whole' that can point to a full and sustained recovery-they seem to be insufficient to lift Cuba out of its economic doldrums. The overall conclusion of these observers is that reforms will have to go much further if Cuba is to recover fully from the 46% loss of GSP the island sustained with the breakdown of the USSR and the collapse of the CMEA.…”

Section: The Cuban Economy In the 1990smentioning

confidence: 95%

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Cuba's economic restructuring, 1990–1995

Berríos¹

1997

Communist Economies and Economic Transformation

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Section: The Cuban Economy In the 1990smentioning

confidence: 95%

“…Economic analysts keeping a close watch on Cuba's economic reforms during the first half of the 1990s have called its progress moderate and partial (Mesa-Lago, 1994;Pastor & Zimbalist, 1995). They stress that the measures have been piecemeal and heavily regulated.…”

Section: The Cuban Economy In the 1990smentioning

confidence: 97%

Cuba's economic restructuring, 1990–1995

Berríos¹

1997

Communist Economies and Economic Transformation

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“…O colapso do império soviético destruiu a capacidade de coerção na Europa oriental e levou a um crescimento rápido das dificuldades econômicas em todo o bloco comercial soviético. Estima-se que em Cuba a renda caiu em 50% em conseqüência da retirada dos subsídios da URSS (Pastor, 1994). Com o final da intervenção soviética, os regimes do leste europeu caíram como frutas podres no final do verão.…”

Section: Os Efeitos Dos Choques Exógenosunclassified

O quê sabemos sobre democratização depois de vinte anos?

Geddes

2001

Opin. Publica

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ResumoEste ensaio sintetiza os resultados do grande número de estudos publicados nos últimos vinte anos sobre a democratização ocorrida no final do século XX. Dados significativos dão sustentação à tese de que a democracia é mais provável em países mais desenvolvidos e que transições de regime de todos os tipos são mais prováveis durante períodos de declínio econômico. Porém, muito poucos dos outros argumentos apresentados na literatura sobre transição parecem ter validade geral. Este estudo propõe um modelo teórico, baseado nas características de diferentes tipos de regimes autoritários, para explicar muitas das diferenças entre as experiências de democratização em diferentes regiões. Os dados tirados de um conjunto de bases que inclui 163 regimes autoritários oferecem sustentação preliminar ao modelo proposto. Palavras-chave: democratização, transição, regime autoritário, militares AbstractThis essay synthesizes the results of the large number of studies of late 20th-century democratization published during the last 20 years. Strong evidence supports the claims that democracy is more likely in more developed countries and that regime transitions of all kinds are more likely during economic downturns. Very few of the other arguments advanced in the transitions literature, however, appear to be generally true. This study proposes a theoretical model, rooted in characteristics of different types of authoritarian regimes, to explain many of the differences in democratization experience across cases in different regions. Evidence drawn from a data set that includes 163 authoritarian regimes offers preliminary support for the model proposed.

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“…The rst years (from 1990 to 1993, approximately) constitute a period with modest changes which did not manage to stop the deterioration of the economy (Pastor & Zimbalist, 1995). The deterioration forced the introduction of a new reform package for the period 1993-95, which did improve some aspects of the economy (Carranza, Gutiérrez & Monreal, 1995, p. 31;CEPAL, 1997, p. 61).…”

mentioning

confidence: 97%

What Type of Transition is Cuba Undergoing?

March-Poquet¹

2000

Post-Communist Economies

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Since 1990 the Cuban economy has faced a crisis comparable with those in Eastern Europe. However, since 1995 approximately, the Cuban reform has been showing significant results in terms of economic recovery and financial adjustment. As is the case with the Chinese reform, the stabilising, privatising and liberalising measures taken in Cuba point to a reform strategy essentially different from that followed in Eastern Europe. This article shows two relevant aspects of the Cuban case: first, the Cuban reform is a transition process toward the market although forced by external circumstances and still at an early developmental stage; second, the Cuban transition is in line with the evolutionary conception of a transition.

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Waiting for change: Adjustment and reform in Cuba

Cited by 21 publications

References 16 publications

Cuba's economic restructuring, 1990–1995

Cuba's economic restructuring, 1990–1995

O quê sabemos sobre democratização depois de vinte anos?

What Type of Transition is Cuba Undergoing?

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