Vulnerability of smallholder farmers to ENSO-related drought in Indonesia

Keil, Alwin; Teufel, Nils; Gunawan, Dodo; Leemhuis, Constanze

doi:10.3354/cr00778

Cited by 17 publications

(17 citation statements)

References 12 publications

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“…Since the majority of materials published in this category are related to the review on the impacts on climate change in Indonesia, this paper examines deeper on those literature ( Figure 5). It is shown that the impact on crops production, mainly on rice has been the majority of those researches (Caruso et al, 285 2016;D'Arrigo et al, 2011;D'Arrigo and Wilson, 2008;Kawanishi and Mimura, 2015;Keil et al, 2009;Naylor et al, 2001;Sano et al, 2013;Shofiyati et al, 2014). This is strongly related to the examination of too much water which can cause flood Marfai et al, 2015Marfai et al, , 2014Muis et al, 2015;Neolaka, 2013Neolaka, , 2012Sarminingsih et al, 2014;Shrestha et al, 2014)or too little water which can or have caused drought in Indonesia (Aldrian and Djamil, 2008;D'Arrigo and Smerdon, 2008;D'Arrigo and Wilson, 2008;D'Arrigo et al, 2006;Keil et al, 290 2009;Keil et al, 2008).…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Research Trends on Natural Hazards, Disasters, Risk Reduction and Climate Change in Indonesia: A Systematic Literature Review

Djalante¹

2016

Preprint

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Abstract. Indonesia is one of the most vulnerable countries from disasters and climate change. While there have been a proliferations of academic publications written on issues related to natural hazards, disasters and risk reduction, and climate change risk in Indonesia, there have not been any review done systematically to determine the progress, key topics discussed and which topics needed to be researched further. The author did a systematic literature review on related publications that 10 are indexed within SCOPUS database with the timeline from 1900 to 2016. The findings are outlined in two parts. The first part focuses on the research topics. It is found that the publications can be categorized into three major topics of (1) natural hazard, risks and disaster assessments (HRD), (2) disaster risk reduction (DRR), and (3) climate change risks, vulnerability, impacts and adaptation (CC). More than half are on HRD, focusing on volcanic eruption, tsunami and earthquake. Research on DRR focuses on governance, recovery and reconstruction, early warning systems. Those on CC are mainly on emission 15 reduction, forestry, governance, and impacts. The second part focuses on roles of Indonesian researchers and organizations in these researches. Findings show limited progress in research, publications and collaborations. International/ nonIndonesian authors dominate the number of researchers and only half of the publications are co-authored by Indonesians.Moreover, international collaborations took place only by limited Indonesian organizations. This could be contributed by limited experiences on collaborations, power play amongst researchers, lack of capacity for research, weak English academic 20 writings capacity, and lack of incentives for international collaborations and publications within the Indonesia higher education system.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Research Trends on Natural Hazards, Disasters, Risk Reduction and Climate Change in Indonesia: A Systematic Literature Review

Djalante¹

2016

Preprint

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“…Therefore, on the basis of the experiences in last decade, climate anomaly events such as long drought caused of El Niño and flood due to La Niña, have caused fail rice harvesting and have a high more risk for the future (cf. Bardini 1994;Sani and Nuhaedar 2007;Naylor et al 2007;Keil et al 2009;Surmaini and Susanti 2009;Boer 2010;Kusnanto 2011;Syaukat 2011;Solichah 2014) because of various factors, including the framers have lost of the traditional ecology knowledge (TEK) of pranata mangsa to predict and to adapt with dynamic climate changes.…”

Section: Environmental Perturbationsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Ethnoastronomy-The Baduy agricultural calendar and prediction of environmental perturbations

Iskandar¹,

Iskandar²

2016

Biodiversitas

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In the past, the village farmers of Java and other islands owned extensive the traditional ecological knowledge (TEK) on climate or pranata mangsa. It had culturally practiced as guidance to various agricultural activities, such as planting rice which is considered and fixed with dynamic climate conditions. Nowadays, however, the pranata mangsa has eroded and neglected by the majority irrigated rice (sawah) farmers. Unlike the sawah farmers, the Baduy people have culturally maintained the pranata mangsa (called by Baduy as pananggalan) for annual practicing the swidden farming (ngahuma). This paper discusses the way in which cultural practices of Baduy swidden farming based on traditional calendar. Method used in this study qualitative which is based on ethnoecology or ethnoastronomy approach. The result of study shows that the Baduy rice farming cycle is fixed annually with reference to an agricultural calendar. It has slightly affected by the various environmental perturbations, because the Baduy people have developed some strategies, such as by organizing the traditional calendar and applying the traditional agroforestry that productions can be used for both subsistence and commercial purposes.

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“…They found the models to predict a future yield reduction under climate change. Similarly, Keil et al (2009) projected the impact of rainfall change on rice yield in Central Sulawesi. Their model simulations also showed that El Nino-related drought leads to drastic declines of crop yields and, hence, agricultural incomes.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Rice farmers' response to climate and socio-economic impacts: a case study in North Sumatra, Indonesia

Kawanishi

Mimura

2013

J. Agric. Meteorol.

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The aim of the present study is to use data from relevant government agencies to understand the change in rice production and land use since 2000 in North Sumatra, Indonesia, and to examine the combination of climatic and socio-economic factors affecting the change. Interviews and focused group meetings were also held to overcome the limitation of data availability. This study finds that the consistent increase in rice productivity has been offset by the reduction in rice harvest area, resulting in almost no growth in rice production over the last decade in North Sumatra. In contrast, oil palm plantations, particularly smallholder estates, have been expanding in the province. Four factors are identified as those affecting the change in land use: (1) climate conditions, (2) economic environment, (3) rice planting index, and (4) distance from palm oil enterprise estates. At the time of substantial reduction in rice harvest area, unusual climate conditions were observed across different regencies in North Sumatra, as was the case in 2006, when Medan, the provincial capital, recorded the highest annual rainfall during the last 20 years. The responses of the farmers to the rice planting index and the proximity to palm oil enterprise estates, both of which vary across the province, are differentiated into three types: (1) land use conversion from rice production to oil palm plantation, (2) conversion to other cash crops, and (3) staying with rice production. As oil palm is more resilient to rainfall variability, land use conversion from rice to oil palm can be considered a good adaptation from the farmers perspective. The large scale of the conversions, however, may be a threat to the food security of the society as a whole. This indicates that the countermeasures face trade-offs between different social groups, as well as between adaptation actions and other development priorities.

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Vulnerability of smallholder farmers to ENSO-related drought in Indonesia

Cited by 17 publications

References 12 publications

Research Trends on Natural Hazards, Disasters, Risk Reduction and Climate Change in Indonesia: A Systematic Literature Review

Research Trends on Natural Hazards, Disasters, Risk Reduction and Climate Change in Indonesia: A Systematic Literature Review

Ethnoastronomy-The Baduy agricultural calendar and prediction of environmental perturbations

Rice farmers' response to climate and socio-economic impacts: a case study in North Sumatra, Indonesia

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