Climate is changing due to global warming and many of the observed changes since the 1950s are unprecedented over many centuries to many thousands of years (IPCC, 2021). Since the end of the 20th century, the frequency and intensity of the strongest storms have been increasing in the North Atlantic (IPCC, 2013). Damage resulting from storm surges, sea level rise, and coastal flooding presents a major risk for Europe (IPCC, 2014). It is thus essential to investigate how extreme sea levels and storm surges change in a warming climate, in the perspective of predicting them and adapting coastal areas accordingly to future changes.Extreme high sea levels are the joint effect of mean sea level (MSL), tide, and storm surges. Storm surges are generated during extreme weather events such as extra-tropical storms or cyclones, and result from strong, large-scale atmospheric forcing (e.g., Dangendorf et al., 2016). The European coasts are regularly impacted by mid-latitude extra-tropical storms, which cause large surges, i.e., greater than 1 m. This may lead to huge economic losses and sometimes loss of human life. For example, the storm Xynthia hit the French coast severely on February 27 and 28, 2010, causing a large surge of 1.53 m in the harbor of La Rochelle (see location on Figure 1). This was the highest surge ever observed since the installation of the tide gauge in 1997; its return period was estimated to be greater than 100 yr (Pineau-Guillou et al., 2012). This exceptional storm event caused a major coastal flooding (Bertin et al., 2014). Forty-seven people were killed, around 10,000 people had to be evacuated, and the losses were estimated to more than 2.5 billion Euros (Genovese & Przyluski, 2013).