Voter Turnout in U.S. Presidential Elections: An Historical View and Some Speculation

Informatization, voter turnout and income inequality

“…23 Moreover, after period 2, voter turnout decreases as GDP, the average log-human capital and the degree of informatization increase. 24 In Section 2, we showed that 23 Nardulli et al [25] also argue that voter turnout in the US decreased from 1876 to 1920. Our model cannot describe such a decline.…”

“…1). Nardulli et al [25] argue that voter turnout in the US is described by an inverse U-shaped curve; it increased from 1920 to 1960 and decreased form 1960 on. In this numerical example, period 2 corresponds to the 1960 in the US.…”

“…Mueller and Stratmann [24] support this prediction. Using the cross-national data set spans from 1960 to 1990 on "strong democratic" 25 countries, Mueller and Stratmann [24] show that citizen participation raises the size of the government or transfers, which in turn reduces income inequality.…”

“…It shows that the evolution of voter turnout is described by an inverse U-shaped curve, and that voter turnout has been decreasing in recent years. Nardulli et al [25] also point out that voter turnout in R. Arawatari (B) Graduate School of Economics, Osaka University, 1-7 Machikaneyama, Toyonaka, Osaka, 560-0043, Japan e-mail: ege001ar@mail2.econ.osaka-u.ac.jp The continuing decrease in voter turnout may affect income inequality and the GDP growth rate through a redistribution policy determined by majority voting. Although there have been many studies of the relationship between the endogenous determination of the tax rate and income inequality [2, 18, 26, etc.…”

The Future of Community Reinvestment:Challenges and Opportunities in a Changing Environment

“…This is no longer true. Congress is now dominated by members from suburban districts, a reflection of both demographic changes and congressional gerrymandering which has increasingly isolated urban voters into a smaller and smaller number of "safe" seats dominated by liberal (increasingly minority) Democrats (Dreier et al, 2001;From, 1999;Gainsborough, 2001;Nardulli et al, 1996;Sauerzopf & Swanstrom, 1999;Schneider, 1992;Teixeira & Rogers 2000;Wolman & Marckini, 1998). If Democrats regain a majority in the House of Representatives, many of these liberal Democrats from urban districts will become chairs of key committees and subcommittees, but they will be operating in an environment requiring cooperation and compromise with suburban Democrats, many of them from "swing" districts where their electoral victory margins are relatively narrow.…”