Short title: Ancestry-specific 25(OH)D PGS and SNP heritability 17 18 Precis: Ancestry-specific polygenic risk scores for 25(OH)D capture more genetic variance than do 19 previous GWAS findings and could be leveraged to inform personalized vitamin D supplementation 20 21 Word Count: 4,965 22 23 Abstract: 41 Context. Vitamin D inadequacy, assessed by 25-hydroxyvitamin D [25(OH)D], affects around 50% of 42 adults in the United States and is associated with numerous adverse health outcomes. Blood 25(OH)D 43 concentrations are influenced by genetic factors that may determine how much vitamin D intake is 44 required to reach optimal 25(OH)D. Despite large genome-wide association studies (GWASs), only a 45 small portion of the genetic factors contributing to differences in 25(OH)D levels has been discovered.46 Objective. Therefore, knowledge of a fuller set of genetic factors could be useful for risk prediction of 47 25(OH)D inadequacy, personalized vitamin D supplementation, and prevention of morbidity and mortality 48 from deficient 25(OH)D.
49Design. Using PRSice and weights from published African-and European-ancestry GWAS summary 50 statistics, ancestry-specific polygenic scores (PGSs) were created to capture a more complete set of 51 genetic factors.
52Patients or Other Participants. Participants (European ancestry n=9,569, African ancestry n=2,761) 53 came from three cohort studies.
54Main Outcome Measure(s). Blood concentrations of 25(OH)D.
55Results. The PGS for African ancestry was derived using all input SNPs (a p-value cut-off of 1.0) and 56 had an R 2 of 0.3%; for European ancestry, the optimal PGS used a p-value cut-off of 3.5x10 -4 in the 57 target/tuning dataset and had an R 2 of 1.0% in the validation cohort. Those with highest genetic risk had 58 25(OH)D that was 2.8-3.0 ng/ml lower than those with lowest genetic risk (p=0.0463 to 3.2x10 -13 ),
59requiring an additional 467 to 500 IU of vitamin D intake to maintain equivalent 25(OH)D.
60Conclusions. PGSs are a powerful predictive tool that could be leveraged for personalized vitamin D 61 supplementation to prevent the negative downstream effects of 25(OH)D inadequacy. 62 63 64 65 Keywords: Genetics, ancestry, vitamin D, diet, polygenic risk score, heritability higher prevalence in those with darker skin tones (1-3). Observational studies show associations between 71 low vitamin D concentrations and numerous adverse health outcomes, including autoimmune diseases, 72 migraines, hypertension, dyslipidemia, cardiovascular events, and cardiovascular mortality (1,3-9). These73 studies are supported by recent Mendelian randomization studies which provide evidence for a causal 74 relationship between low vitamin D concentrations and increased risk of obesity, ovarian cancer, 75 hypertension, lower cognitive function during aging, multiple sclerosis, and all cause and cancer mortality 76 (10-16). Furthermore, some clinical trials have shown that vitamin D and calcium supplementation are 77 important in the prevention of fractures and cardiovascular risk factor...