Venezuela's collapse: Exogenous shock or institutional design?

Abstract

Venezuela was the fastest‐growing economy of the twentieth century until the 1970s, and it still has the world's largest known oil reserves. Yet in recent years, it has experienced the greatest economic collapse in South America's history, condemning 96 per cent of its people to poverty. Much of the existing literature blames foreign sanctions or a decline in oil prices, or both. We disagree, arguing the breakdown was caused by explicit institutional changes that politicised the oil industry and replaced market mechanisms with central planning. The institutional restructuring also disregarded monetary stability and basic infrastructure, including electricity supply, telecommunications, and even security.