Variability of Diffuse Daylight Due to the Diversity of Cloud Arrays

Abstract

Illuminance modeling that allows us to mimic or even replicate the dynamics of daylight changes is increasingly becoming a challenge for the development of more accurate prediction systems of natural light availability in building interiors or variations of insolation at arbitrarily oriented façades. We demonstrate that illuminance amplitude due to random cloud arrangement can vary over a wide range even when other atmospheric parameters remain unchanged. It follows from our systematic numerical modeling that diffuse illuminance predictions can be significantly improved by incorporating cloud coverage, mean cloud size, and cloud base altitude into daylight models. We show that any model of homogeneous luminance patterns would fail in modeling the illuminance amplitudes we can expect on horizontal and vertical planes under partial cloud coverage with individual clouds distributed randomly. However, these situations occur with high frequency in most of regions worldwide, thus the modeling results we obtained here are of high relevance to daylight modeling and solar energy systems as well.