“…(2) The statistical model should be capable of handling time-dependent stress changes and translate these into seismicity rate changes. The latter is needed as state-of-the-art geomechanical numerical reservoir models include a number of time-dependent processes such as pore pressure diffusion (linear and non-linear) coupled to the elastic response (Kohl and Mégel, 2007;McClure and Horne, 2011), the so-called pore pressure stress coupling process (Altmann et al, 2010;Ghassemi and Zhou, 2011;Hillis, 2000), thermal diffusion and combination of these processes on different time-scales for long-term production, stimulation and shut-in and re-injection of waste water (Baisch et al, 2010;Bruel, 2007;Rutqvist et al, 2007;Schoenball et al, 2010). Regardless of the complexity of the geomechanical-numerical reservoir model, the output is always at least a change of effective stress, both as a function of time and space.…”