SeaWiFS (Sea-viewing Wide Field-of-view Sensor) chlorophyll data revealed strong interannual variability in fall phytoplankton dynamics in the Gulf of Maine, with 3 general features in any one year: (1) rapid chlorophyll increases in response to storm events in fall; (2) gradual chlorophyll increases in response to seasonal wind-and cooling-induced mixing that gradually deepens the mixed layer; and (3) the absence of any observable fall bloom. We applied a mixed-layer box model and a 1-dimensional physical-biological numerical model to examine the influence of physical forcing (surface wind, heat flux, and freshening) on the mixed-layer dynamics and its impact on the entrainment of deep-water nutrients and thus on the appearance of fall bloom. The model results suggest that during early fall, the surface mixed-layer depth is controlled by both wind-and coolinginduced mixing. Strong interannual variability in mixed-layer depth has a direct impact on short-and long-term vertical nutrient fluxes and thus the fall bloom. Phytoplankton concentrations over time are sensitive to initial pre-bloom profiles of nutrients. The strength of the initial stratification can affect the modeled phytoplankton concentration, while the timing of intermittent freshening events is related to the significant interannual variability of fall blooms.
KEY WORDS: Fall phytoplankton bloom 路 Surface forcing 路 Freshening 路 Interannual variability 路 Gulf of Maine 路 Modeling
Resale or republication not permitted without written consent of the publisherMar Ecol Prog Ser 427: 2011 deep nutrients into the upper water column, where light is not limiting. While the fall bloom is mainly composed of the smaller-sized phytoplankton groups (dino flagellates) (O'Reilly & Busch 1984) rather than larger diatoms that are common in the spring bloom, the importance of the fall bloom to overall ecosystem structure and function can be significant. Greene & Pershing (2007) have speculated that climate changeinduced freshening at higher latitudes could enhance downstream phytoplankton blooms in the fall, which, in turn, could affect zooplankton dynamics in the region. The interannual variability of the fall bloom might also have important implications for populations at higher trophic level. For instance, Friedland et al. (2008) linked the fall bloom to haddock recruitment on Georges Bank, arguing that the intensity of the fall bloom influences maternal well-being and egg viability the following spring, although the detailed mechanisms remain to be further examined.Our key question here is: What are the mechanisms and physical-biological dynamics controlling the interannual variability of fall phytoplankton blooms? If, for example, the erosion of stratification and the concomitant nutrient flux are the triggers of the bloom, one would expect that both local forcing (such as wind and cooling) and remotely controlled surface freshening can result in interannual variations in phytoplankton development. This can be modified further by storm events that c...