“…The population models analyzed are often spatially implicit (Hastings & Botsford, ; Mangel, ; Nowlis & Roberts, ) or use simple patch models or one‐dimensional linear models to represent coastlines (Halpern, Regan, Possingham, & McCarthy, ; Hastings & Botsford, ; Kaplan, Botsford, O'Farrell, Gaines, & Jorgensen, ; Moffitt, White, & Botsford, ; Pelc, Warner, Gaines, & Paris, ). MPA design studies often use symmetric dispersal kernels or simple advection models to represent larval dispersal, and these remain constant through time (Guizien, Belharet, Marsaleix, & Guarini, ; Halpern et al., ; Kaplan & Botsford, ; Lockwood, Hastings, & Botsford, ; White, Botsford, Moffitt, & Fischer, ). Yet larval connectivity patterns are driven by highly‐variable oceanographic drivers, and are therefore characterized by spatial and temporal heterogeneity (Harrison et al., ; James, Armsworth, Mason, & Bode, ; McConnaughey, Armstrong, Hickey, & Gunderson, ).…”