2006
DOI: 10.1016/j.ejor.2005.02.070
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Using intervals for global sensitivity and worst-case analyses in multiattribute value trees

Abstract: Abstract. Sensitivity analyses have for long been used to assess the impacts of uncertainties on outcomes of decision models. Several approaches have been suggested, but it has been problematic to get a quick overview of the total impact of all the uncertainties. Here we show how interval modeling can be used for global sensitivity analyses in multiattribute value trees, and a nuclear emergency case is used to illustrate the method. The approach is conceptually simple and computationally feasible. With interva… Show more

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Cited by 32 publications
(15 citation statements)
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“…However, the probailistic approach takes account of all uncertainties simultaneously so that the user may have confidence in the results which can convincingly be communicated to decision makers (Mustajoki, Hämäläinen and Lindstedt 2006). This communication should be couched in terms of justifiable discrimination between alternatives.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
See 1 more Smart Citation
“…However, the probailistic approach takes account of all uncertainties simultaneously so that the user may have confidence in the results which can convincingly be communicated to decision makers (Mustajoki, Hämäläinen and Lindstedt 2006). This communication should be couched in terms of justifiable discrimination between alternatives.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Variations in parameter values may be considered one at a time or in combination (French 2003). For example, in multiattribute problems Mustajoki, Hämäläinen and Lindstedt (2006) describe three forms of sensitivity analysis. First, a single parameter test in which one weight is varied and the effect on scores observed.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Under these circumstances, interval estimates of the weights can be determined [31,32]. These interval estimates might serve as an absolute range of potential values for criteria weights; any changes in criteria weights for future decisions of this nature should only occur within these ranges.…”
Section: Relative Weighting Of Decision Criteriamentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The alternatives are ranked by the ratings of each alternative with respect to each attribute (value resp. utility) and the weights of the attributes (Mustajoki et al, 2006). While MAVT is a deterministic technique, MAUT accounts for uncertainty and the risk preferences of the decision makers which are integrated with help of probability distributions.…”
Section: Multi-criteria Decision Analysis (Mcda) In the Recovery Phasementioning
confidence: 99%