ARTICLE ORIGINAL RESEARCH ARTICLEEditorial, see p XXX BACKGROUND: The aim of the study was to derive and validate a novel risk score for early right-sided heart failure (RHF) after left ventricular assist device implantation.
METHODS:The European Registry for Patients with Mechanical Circulatory Support (EUROMACS) was used to identify adult patients undergoing continuous-flow left ventricular assist device implantation with mainstream devices. Eligible patients (n=2988) were randomly divided into derivation (n=2000) and validation (n=988) cohorts. The primary outcome was early (<30 days) severe postoperative RHF, defined as receiving short-or long-term rightsided circulatory support, continuous inotropic support for ≥14 days, or nitric oxide ventilation for ≥48 hours. The secondary outcome was all-cause mortality and length of stay in the intensive care unit. Covariates found to be associated with RHF (exploratory univariate P<0.10) were entered into a multivariable logistic regression model. A risk score was then generated using the relative magnitude of the exponential regression model coefficients of independent predictors at the last step after checking for collinearity, likelihood ratio test, c index, and clinical weight at each step.RESULTS: A 9.5-point risk score incorporating 5 variables (Interagency Registry for Mechanically Assisted Circulatory Support class, use of multiple inotropes, severe right ventricular dysfunction on echocardiography, ratio of right atrial/ pulmonary capillary wedge pressure, hemoglobin) was created. The mean scores in the derivation and validation cohorts were 2.7±1.9 and 2.6±2.0, respectively (P=0.32). RHF in the derivation cohort occurred in 433 patients (21.7%) after left ventricular assist device implantation and was associated with a lower 1-year (53% versus 71%; P<0.001) and 2-year (45% versus 58%; P<0.001) survival compared with patients without RHF. RHF risk ranged from 11% (low risk score 0-2) to 43.1% (high risk score >4; P<0.0001). Median intensive care unit stay was 7 days (interquartile range, 4-15 days) versus 24 days (interquartile range, 14-38 days) in patients without versus with RHF, respectively (P<0.001). The c index of the composite score was 0.70 in the derivation and 0.67 in the validation cohort. The EUROMACS-RHF risk score outperformed (P<0.0001) previously published scores and known individual echocardiographic and hemodynamic markers of RHF.
CONCLUSIONS:This novel EUROMACS-RHF risk score outperformed currently known risk scores and clinical predictors of early postoperative RHF. This novel score may be useful for tailored risk-based clinical assessment and management of patients with advanced HF evaluated for ventricular assist device therapy. 1,2 Early post-LVAD mortality is due partly to the development of right-sided HF (RHF) in the early post-LVAD phase. 3 The pathophysiology of RHF, however, is not well known.4,5 Post-LVAD RHF has been reported to be between 4% and 50%, 6-10 and RHF-associated 6-month mortality was seen in up to 29% of patients ...