Objective
To estimate risk of NEC for ELBW infants as a function of preterm formula and maternal milk (MM) intake and calculate the impact of suboptimal feeding on NEC incidence and costs.
Design
We used adjusted odds ratios (aORs) derived from the Glutamine Trial to perform Monte Carlo simulation of a cohort of ELBW infants under current suboptimal feeding practices, compared to a theoretical cohort in which 90% of infants received at least 98% MM.
Results
NEC incidence among infants receiving ≥98% MM was 1.3%; 11.1% among infants fed only preterm formula; and 8.2% among infants fed a mixed diet (p=0.002). In adjusted models, compared with infants fed predominantly MM, we found an increased risk of NEC associated with exclusive preterm formula (aOR=12.1, 95% CI 1.5, 94.2), or a mixed diet (aOR 8.7, 95% CI 1.2-65.2). In Monte Carlo simulation, current feeding of ELBW infants was associated with 928 excess NEC cases and 121 excess deaths annually, compared with a model in which 90% of infants received ≥ 98% MM. These models estimated an annual cost of suboptimal feeding of ELBW infants of $27.1 million (CI $24million, $30.4 million) in direct medical costs, $563,655 (CI $476,191, $599,069) in indirect nonmedical costs, and $1.5 billion (CI $1.3 billion, $1.6 billion) in cost attributable to premature death.
Conclusions
Among ELBW infants, not being fed predominantly MM is associated with an increased risk of NEC. Efforts to support milk production by mothers of ELBW infants may prevent infant deaths and reduce costs.