Background and objectives Hyperuricemia predicts a high risk for CKD progression but there is no large clinical trial in humans indicating that this relationship is causal in nature. The rs734553 single-nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) of the GLUT9 urate transporter gene was strongly associated with uric acid (UA) levels in a large metaanalysis.Design, setting, participants, & measurements This prospective study adopted the Mendelian randomization approach. The rs734553 SNP was used as an instrumental variable to investigate the relationship between UA and renal outcomes in a cohort of 755 patients with CKD who were enrolled between October 18, 2005, and October 2, 2008. The association between the polymorphism and UA was preliminary confirmed in a series of 211 healthy volunteers enrolled between January 1, 2001, and July 12, 2011, from the same geographic area as the patients with CKD. The study end point was a composite renal-end point (i.e., .30% decrease in the GFR, dialysis, or transplantation). Patients were followed up for a median of 36 months.Results In healthy individuals, serum UA levels were highest in homozygotes for the T allele (risk allele), intermediate in heterozygotes for the same allele, and lowest in those without the risk allele (P,0.001), but no such relationship was found in patients with CKD. In the CKD cohort, homozygotes (TT) and heterozygotes (GT) for the risk allele had a 2.35 times higher risk (hazard ratio, 2.35; 95% confidence interval, 1.25 to 4.42; P=0.008) of CKD progression. The risk for CKD progression by rs734553 remained unmodified in analyses adjusting for proteinuria, GFR, and other classical and CKD-peculiar risk factors.Conclusions A GLUT9 polymorphism, which is strongly associated with serum UA levels in healthy individuals of the general population with normal renal function, holds a strong predictive power for CKD progression. These findings are compatible with the hypothesis that the link between UA and CKD progression is causal in nature.