Update of the generalized environmental assessment and inertial forecast for the development of a cluster of urban areas of the Bogorodsky urban district of the Moscow region within the framework of the system “Ecology, environment and public health”

Abstract

The article presents an update and a generalized geo-ecological assessment of the Bogorodsky urban district of the Moscow region (the former Noginsky was abolished) at the time of 2021-2022. The indicators of the ecological state of the territories are considered from the standpoint of the realities of the current years. A comparison was made of the geo-ecological situation of the territories of small towns of compact residence in the Noginsk district for 2011-2014 and the current geo-ecological situation of the territory of small towns of the Bogorodsk urban district of the Moscow region (the former Noginsk was abolished) for 2021-2022. Data on the incidence of the population and environmental pollution are analyzed from the standpoint of causal relationships of direct and indirect correlations between diseases of the respiratory, digestive and genitourinary systems. Also, for ecodiagnostics, the dominant concepts of toxicology are used, such as the reaction rate and the response of a particular individual organism to a stimulus. A new municipal specialized subprogram “Ecology and the Environment” for 2023-2027 with the introduction of new indicators aimed at protecting the environment is considered. A look at the scenarios and inertial forecast for the development of environmental sustainability of urbanized territories of small towns in the study area is given.