Unpacking the Iranian Nuclear Deal: Nuclear Latency and U.S. Foreign Policy

Mehta, Rupal N.; Whitlark, Rachel Elizabeth

doi:10.1080/0163660x.2016.1261567

Cited by 6 publications

(4 citation statements)

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“…The 2015 Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) left Iran with nuclear latency-critical technologies useful for building nuclear weapons, following a political decision to do so (Mehta and Whitlark 2016;Whitlark and Mehta 2019). Despite looming concerns over the future of the nuclear deal, Iran joins a community of states that maintain the capabilities necessary to facilitate either a civilian energy program or a weapons arsenal.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Moreover, this research speaks to pressing and current foreign policy. Recent developments, like the still in-limbo JCPOA and the sale of U.S. nuclear technology to Saudi Arabia, have brought the complex role of nuclear technology to the forefront of contemporary policy debates (Mehta and Whitlark 2016). These examples indicate that the many potential links between latency and cooperative activities within international politics are plausible, and yet to be explored.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Atomic Ambiguity: Event Data Evidence on Nuclear Latency and International Cooperation

Mattiacci

Mehta

Whitlark

2021

Journal of Conflict Resolution

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How does dual-use technology influence cooperation? This study explores how the development of nuclear latency (the technological precursors to nuclear weapons) affects U.S. cooperative overtures toward its possessors. We argue that the ambiguous nature of nuclear latency creates uncertainty about the intentions of its possessors and impacts cooperation. Using event data, we find that a state’s possession of overt lab-scale enrichment and reprocessing facilities is significantly correlated with greater cooperative overtures from the United States toward that country. These overtures may serve as effective tools to counter nuclear proliferation among these states. Yet, when latent states engage in a concerted effort to keep their facilities secret, both at the lab and a more advanced “pilot” stage, this relationship is reversed. These results carry important implications for the impact of emerging, dual-use technologies on international security broadly.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Atomic Ambiguity: Event Data Evidence on Nuclear Latency and International Cooperation

Mattiacci

Mehta

Whitlark

2021

Journal of Conflict Resolution

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“…Previously, the United States set a precondition that Iran should first meet the UN's demands before talks and negotiations could commence (Borger 2009). After rigorously negotiating for more than half a decade, a comprehensive nuclear deal was signed between the P5+1 and Iran in 2015 (Mehta and Whitlark 2016).…”

Section: Diplomatic Might Of the United Statesmentioning

confidence: 99%

American Global Supremacy Under Threat? The Chinese Factor

Zaidi

2021

Politics & Policy

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In contemporary times, the widely debated topic in international politics is the future of the United States as the sole superpower of the world. Many political analysts see the “unipolar moment” to be in grave danger, especially by a rapidly rising China. The advocates of China as the next superpower term the economic crisis of 2008 to be a watershed moment. Since the financial meltdown post‐2008, China began to unfold its geoeconomic might to the world, which in turn gave it great geopolitical capital to challenge—to an extent—the U.S. hegemonic status. However, when a purely empirical analysis is conducted between the power and capabilities of the United States and China, a totally contrasting picture is painted. This article critically analyzes the political, military, economic, and soft power—key essentials to assess “national power”—capabilities of the United States in comparison to China and other second‐tier powers to assess the future of the unipolar world order. Related Articles Lasher, Kevin J., and Christine Sixta Rinehart. 2016. “The Shadowboxer: The Obama Administration and Foreign Policy Grand Strategy.” Politics & Policy 44 (5): 850‐888. https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12175 Quinn, Adam. 2007. “The Great Illusion: Chimeras of Isolationism and Realism in Post‐Iraq U.S. Foreign Policy.” Politics & Policy 35 (3): 522‐547. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1747-1346.2007.00071.x Zhao, Kejin. 2017. “China's Public Diplomacy for International Public Goods.” Politics & Policy 45 (5): 706‐732. https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12223

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“…Technological Imperatives: In the literature, it is often acknowledged that the decision to acquire nuclear latency is driven by a combination of security motivations, domestic politics, and elements of technological determinism (Mehta and Whitlark 2016). Technological imperatives are a natural byproduct of technological capacity; that is, once a country has the ability to select the latency option it would choose to do so, and once a country is fully latent it would go for actual nuclear proliferation.…”

Section: Technological Motivationsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Nuclear Latency: The Turkish Case

Mehmetçik¹

2018

AJP

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Turkey's interest in nuclear technology has increased over the years. The aim of this article is to summarize, synthetize, update, and contextualize Turkey's nonproliferation policies and link it to the broader discussion on nuclear latency. The article first attempts to show the shortcomings of several latency arguments by overviewing the factors that affect Turkey's latency status. The main finding of the article is that Turkey's latency in terms of technology will increase, yet that increase cannot be predicted as potent enough to result in latency potential in terms of a nuclear weapons program in the short-and medium-term without a serious change in international and domestic politics.

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Unpacking the Iranian Nuclear Deal: Nuclear Latency and U.S. Foreign Policy

Cited by 6 publications

References 0 publications

Atomic Ambiguity: Event Data Evidence on Nuclear Latency and International Cooperation

Atomic Ambiguity: Event Data Evidence on Nuclear Latency and International Cooperation

American Global Supremacy Under Threat? The Chinese Factor

Nuclear Latency: The Turkish Case

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