Abstract:JEL classification: C15 F11 F15 F17
Keywords:Comparative advantage Gravity Ricardian model Factor endowments Institutional determinants of trade Simulated method of moments This paper develops an approach for quantifying the importance of different sources of comparative advantage, by extending the Eaton and Kortum (2002) model to predict industry trade flows. In this framework, comparative advantage is determined by the interaction of country and industry characteristics, with countries specializing in indust… Show more
“…In column 1 we include the interaction terms motivated by the factor proportions theory (physical capital and labour skill). As in Chor (), we find that both interaction terms are positive and statistically significant, confirming that countries well endowed in physical capital per worker and human capital per worker will export goods that make intensive use of these factors of production. In column 2 we introduce our measure of industry‐level complexity interacted with country‐level human capital per worker.…”
This paper analyzes whether complexity, measured by the number of skilled tasks that are performed in production, explains countries' commodity trade structure. We modify Romalis (2004) model to incorporate advantage differences in complexity across commodities together with differences in the number of mistakes made by workers in the production process in developed and developing countries as a source of comparative advantage. Our model predicts that the share of developed countries in world trade increases with products' complexity. Empirical tests confirm this prediction. Moreover, we find that complexity complements the explanation provided by skill-intensity on countries' commodity trade structure.
“…In column 1 we include the interaction terms motivated by the factor proportions theory (physical capital and labour skill). As in Chor (), we find that both interaction terms are positive and statistically significant, confirming that countries well endowed in physical capital per worker and human capital per worker will export goods that make intensive use of these factors of production. In column 2 we introduce our measure of industry‐level complexity interacted with country‐level human capital per worker.…”
This paper analyzes whether complexity, measured by the number of skilled tasks that are performed in production, explains countries' commodity trade structure. We modify Romalis (2004) model to incorporate advantage differences in complexity across commodities together with differences in the number of mistakes made by workers in the production process in developed and developing countries as a source of comparative advantage. Our model predicts that the share of developed countries in world trade increases with products' complexity. Empirical tests confirm this prediction. Moreover, we find that complexity complements the explanation provided by skill-intensity on countries' commodity trade structure.
“… Other papers employing a multi‐sector Eaton–Kortum model to study a range of questions are Dekle et al . (), Chor (), Costinot et al . (), Shikher () and Levchenko and Zhang ().…”
One consequence of melting Arctic ice caps is the commercial viability of the Northern Sea Route, connecting East Asia with Europe. This represents a sizeable reduction in shipping distances and average transportation days compared to the conventional Southern Sea Route. We examine the economic impact of opening this route in a multi‐sector Eaton–Kortum model with intermediate linkages. We find remarkable shifts in trade flows between Asia and Europe, diversion of trade within Europe, heavy shipping traffic in the Arctic and a substantial drop in Suez traffic. Projected shifts in trade also imply substantial pressure on an already threatened Arctic ecosystem.
“…Preferences, institutions and history are now argued to be critical in understanding trade patterns using models of trade in varieties. Conversely, the role of endowments as a source of comparative advantage is believed to have been eroded and there is no longer thought to be a ‘tyranny of distance’ caused by prohibitive transport costs (Overman et al ., ; Romalis, ; Venables, ; Behrens et al ., ; Levchenko, ; Boulhol & De Serres, ; Chor, ).…”
To what extent does geography remain an important determinant of comparative advantage and factor incomes in resource markets? We estimate gravity models for resources and find that some minerals and fuels, particularly iron ore and gas, do have very high elasticities of trade with respect to distance. To assess the implications of this we then consider a simple counterfactual where location advantages are eliminated. We find that for a few countries, including Australia and New Zealand, distance barriers have a large impact of their market share.
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