2008
DOI: 10.1175/2008jas2696.1
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Understanding the Changes of Stratospheric Water Vapor in Coupled Chemistry–Climate Model Simulations

Abstract: Past and future climate simulations from the Goddard Earth Observing System Chemistry-Climate Model (GEOS CCM), with specified boundary conditions for sea surface temperature, sea ice, and trace gas emissions, have been analyzed to assess trends and possible causes of changes in stratospheric water vapor. The simulated distribution of stratospheric water vapor in the 1990s compares well with observations. Changes in the cold point temperatures near the tropical tropopause can explain differences in entry strat… Show more

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Cited by 57 publications
(81 citation statements)
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References 24 publications
(32 reference statements)
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“…However, a detailed understanding of the two contributions is required to assess how well Climate Models simulate stratospheric dynamics and tracer transport, and to increase the confidence in their projections. Castanheira and Gimeno (2011) and Peevey et al (2012) showed that double tropopause events (DTs) are associated with Rossby waves in the subtropics and midlatitudes. These waves can produce intrusions of tropical tropospheric air into the extratropical lower stratosphere (Randel et al, 2007;Pan et al, 2009).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
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“…However, a detailed understanding of the two contributions is required to assess how well Climate Models simulate stratospheric dynamics and tracer transport, and to increase the confidence in their projections. Castanheira and Gimeno (2011) and Peevey et al (2012) showed that double tropopause events (DTs) are associated with Rossby waves in the subtropics and midlatitudes. These waves can produce intrusions of tropical tropospheric air into the extratropical lower stratosphere (Randel et al, 2007;Pan et al, 2009).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Castanheira and Gimeno (2011) and Peevey et al (2012) showed that double tropopause events (DTs) are associated with Rossby waves in the subtropics and midlatitudes. These waves can produce intrusions of tropical tropospheric air into the extratropical lower stratosphere (Randel et al, 2007;Pan et al, 2009). If these waves break they will contribute to the exchange of trace gases, such as ozone or water vapour, between the troposphere and the stratosphere through irreversible mixing (Pan et al, 2009).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Water vapour will also play a role -affecting the radiative balance of the stratosphere and, as a source of HO x (OH+HO 2 ), playing an important role in ozone chemistry, particularly in the upper stratosphere. The concentration of stratospheric H 2 O may be affected by changes to the tropospheric concentration of CH 4 or the amount of H 2 O entering the stratosphere through the "cold trap" around the tropical tropopause (Austin et al, 2007;Oman et al, 2008).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Still, for reasons of simplification, several GCMs use the approximation that the yield of H 2 O from CH 4 oxidation is exactly 2 (Monge- Sanz et al, 2013;ECMWF, 2007;Austin et al, 2007;Oman et al, 2008;Boville et al, 2001;Mote, 1995;Eichinger et al, 2015). In the ECHAM/MESSy Atmospheric Chemistry (EMAC) model , for example, explicitly configured in a CTM-like setup without interactive chemistry, the production of SWV from CH 4 oxidation is calculated in a simplified way using a specifically introduced CH 4 tracer (by applying the CH 4 submodel) according to Hurst et al (1999) and the yield of le Texier et al (1988) also do not agree well in the lower stratosphere, which can indeed be explained by the indistinguishable inputs from H 2 and CH 4 oxidation in observations as stated before.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%