2018
DOI: 10.1111/johs.12190
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Understanding regime divergence in the post‐uprising Arab states

Abstract: Despite the fact that democracy was a main demand of the protestors who spearheaded the Arab uprisings, five years later only Tunisia qualifies as democratic while elsewhere the outcomes have been either authoritarian restoration or failing states. This paper seeks to understand these three divergent trajectories in the post‐uprising Arab states, with Tunisia, Egypt and Syria taken as representative of each.

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Cited by 18 publications
(3 citation statements)
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“…Of all the countries of the Arab spring, only one country eventually transitioned toward a more democratic form of regime: Tunisia. By contrast, in Egypt, the other country that symbolized the youth's capacity to spearhead political protests, the Mubarak regime fell, only to be replaced (after a short interim) by a regime that has become as oppressive as, if not more oppressive than, the previous one (Abdalla, 2016;Hinnebusch, 2018). A similar fate was met by the young Turkish demonstrators of Gezi Park in 2013, hoping to democratize what nonetheless became a strongman authoritarian regime in Turkey (Erdog ˘an & Uyan-Semerci, 2017; Öktem & Akkoyunlu, 2016).…”
Section: Ype In Non-western Societiesmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Of all the countries of the Arab spring, only one country eventually transitioned toward a more democratic form of regime: Tunisia. By contrast, in Egypt, the other country that symbolized the youth's capacity to spearhead political protests, the Mubarak regime fell, only to be replaced (after a short interim) by a regime that has become as oppressive as, if not more oppressive than, the previous one (Abdalla, 2016;Hinnebusch, 2018). A similar fate was met by the young Turkish demonstrators of Gezi Park in 2013, hoping to democratize what nonetheless became a strongman authoritarian regime in Turkey (Erdog ˘an & Uyan-Semerci, 2017; Öktem & Akkoyunlu, 2016).…”
Section: Ype In Non-western Societiesmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…A different political approach was adopted, based on fostering regime change, whether peacefully through political and diplomatic pressure, or through military intervention under the pretext of the responsibility to protect the protesters, or through providing military means to confront the regimes. Hinnebusch explained that “ International Intervention : The ‘competitive interference’ of rival powers in Uprising states affected trajectories: the less competitive interference, the better chance of peaceful transition to democracy; the greater the interference, the greater the chances of state failure” (Hinnebusch, 2018, p. 2).…”
Section: The International Community's Response To the Arab Springmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Contrary to the “pure” primordialists' alleged obsession with some “ancient past,” the relevant past according to this perspective is the modern era and in particular the histories of state formation/nation building in the current Middle Eastern states. In his study of the origins of sectarian identities in Syria and why after 2011 they were mobilized into violence, Phillips (2015; see also Dodge, ; Hinnebusch, ; Saouli, ; Weiss, ), for instance, begins in the late Ottoman era and then examines the role of various actors during different phases of Syrian state building. Others go further back in history.…”
Section: “Where Are We Currently Situated”(ii): the Seductive Third Imentioning
confidence: 99%