2018
DOI: 10.1140/epjds/s13688-017-0129-1
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Understanding predictability and exploration in human mobility

Abstract: Predictive models for human mobility have important applications in many fields including traffic control, ubiquitous computing, and contextual advertisement. The predictive performance of models in literature varies quite broadly, from over 90% to under 40%. In this work we study which underlying factors -in terms of modeling approaches and spatio-temporal characteristics of the data sources -have resulted in this remarkably broad span of performance reported in the literature. Specifically we investigate whi… Show more

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Cited by 110 publications
(165 citation statements)
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References 37 publications
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“…They base their conclusion on a logistic regression model using information on calls, SMS, proximity via Bluetooth and mobility from GPS. Using the same dataset Cuttone et al (2018), discussed the contrasting ideas of predicting a visit to an already visited location against predicting exploration of newer locations. In addition, they discussed the effect of spatial and temporal resolutions on predictive power.…”
Section: Human Mobility Patternsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…They base their conclusion on a logistic regression model using information on calls, SMS, proximity via Bluetooth and mobility from GPS. Using the same dataset Cuttone et al (2018), discussed the contrasting ideas of predicting a visit to an already visited location against predicting exploration of newer locations. In addition, they discussed the effect of spatial and temporal resolutions on predictive power.…”
Section: Human Mobility Patternsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Song and Barabási [39] and Gallotti [40] used entropy to predict individual mobility patterns. Moreover, Cuttone et al [41] found out that there are also some relationships between the spatial and temporal resolution of the mobile phone data and the accuracy of predicting human mobility. The effectiveness of the sparse location data in the characterization of individual human mobility should be paid more attention.…”
Section: Mobile Phone Location Data For Human Mobility Researchmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Reference [35], when analysing the temporal evolution of the Brazilian air network, states that "a reasonable fit is obtained by using a stretched exponential", although no statistical analysis is provided. Finally, [36] correctly recognises that, even though there is a "suggestive scaling behavior" in the distribution of node degrees in maritime networks, "simple models for generating scale-free statistics are not sufficient to describe these empirical networks"; similar careful observations have been made for travel demand networks at the urban scale [37][38][39][40] and locationbased analysis of data from social media [41].…”
Section: Common Pitfalls and Misleadingmentioning
confidence: 93%