2021
DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3928302
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Understanding Low Inflation in the Euro Area from 2013 to 2019: Cyclical and Structural Drivers

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Cited by 13 publications
(7 citation statements)
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“…If workers or unions perceive wages as unethical and too low, they might in fact be even lower if wages have not increased with the inflation rate. 11 Nevertheless, the inflation rates in Europe and the United States were low during the observation period of our meta-analysis (Forbes et al 2021;Koester et al 2021). Finally, meta-analyses include older studies by nature, even though the results obtained in a particular study may not be fully comparable with those from more recent periods.…”
Section: Limitationsmentioning
confidence: 89%
“…If workers or unions perceive wages as unethical and too low, they might in fact be even lower if wages have not increased with the inflation rate. 11 Nevertheless, the inflation rates in Europe and the United States were low during the observation period of our meta-analysis (Forbes et al 2021;Koester et al 2021). Finally, meta-analyses include older studies by nature, even though the results obtained in a particular study may not be fully comparable with those from more recent periods.…”
Section: Limitationsmentioning
confidence: 89%
“…Such decline in persistence could be a result of several alternative drivers. These include i) presence of downward nominal price and wage rigidities together with a reinforcing feedback between low inflation and weaker passthrough from wage increases to inflation (Consolo et al, 2021), ii) changes in the firms' pricing behavior post-GFC (Koester et al, 2021), or iii) increased inattention to inflation developments on the side of agents in a low inflation environment. Overall, the ability of alternative theoretical models to produce expectations dynamics consistent with our evidence could help identify the correct model of expectations formation.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“… See Koester et al (2019) for a discussion of the low inflation period from 2013 to 2019 in the euro area. 2 For the euro area, the low inflation in the decade leading up to the pandemic has been explained in part by cyclical developments, including monetary policy being constrained by the effective lower bound, and, to a lesser extent, by underlying structural trends, such as globalization, digitalization, and demographics(Koester et al, 2021).3 See BIS 2022 Annual Report Section II.©International Monetary Fund. Not for Redistribution…”
mentioning
confidence: 99%