Understanding China's grain procurement policy from a perspective of optimization

Shea, Esther Y.P.

doi:10.1016/j.chieco.2010.07.002

Cited by 6 publications

(3 citation statements)

References 14 publications

Supporting

Mentioning

Contrasting

Order By: Relevance

“…Therefore, bold policies and institutional reforms were implemented to motivate greater production by rural households (Fan et al 2004). In 1978 the government introduced the household responsibility system, under which key land rights were reallocated from collective farms to rural households and the households were required to sell the grain to the government with some specified quota amount at contract prices in exchange for use rights to specific plots of land (Shea 2010). As long as the quota obligations are met, farmers are generally free to grow whatever crops they desire and to sell their harvest at the market price.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

An analysis of China's grain production: looking back and looking forward

Zhang

et al. 2013

Food and Energy Security

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Ensuring food security is the foundation of economic development and social stability. China is historically a country that is dominated by agriculture. In the past 60 years, China's total grain output increased by fivefold, from 113 million tons (MT) in 1949 to 571 MT in 2011, a statistic which provides inspiration to producers in other parts of the world. Grain production per capita doubled, from 209 to 425 kg during the same time period. At the national scale, China has succeeded in maintaining a basic self‐sufficiency for grain for the past three decades. However, with the increasing population pressure and a growing appetite for animal products, China will need 776 MT grain by 2030 to feed its own people, a net increase of 35.9% from its best year on record. China's drive for future food security is challenged by problems such as low efficiency of resource use and resource limitation, diminishing return in yield response, competition for nonagricultural land uses, and environmental degradation. In this article, we analyze historical, temporal, and spatial variation in total grain production as well as the overall developing trends of current and future grain production, and discussed relevant options to overcome production constraints and further promote agricultural production.

show abstract

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

An analysis of China's grain production: looking back and looking forward

Zhang

et al. 2013

Food and Energy Security

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…119-124). Past farm policies took numerous forms, including export restrictions and requirements to deliver part of the crop to the government at below-market prices (Sicular, 1988; Shea, 2010), all of which are reflected in estimated NRAs that are negative. For some import-competing industries, though, restrictions on imports meant they enjoyed positive NRAs.…”

Section: Empirical Estimates Of Distortions To Farmer Incentives In Chinamentioning

confidence: 99%

From taxing to subsidizing farmers in China post-1978

Anderson

2018

CAER

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to document the pace and extent to which China’s policy regime has transitioned over the past four decades from explicitly and implicitly taxing to subsidizing its farmers relative to its producers of other tradable goods; to present projections of the world economy to 2030 that suggest China will continue to become more food import-dependent under current policies and productivity growth rates; and to explore alternative policy instruments for remaining food secure and ensuring that farmers are not losers from economic growth. Design/methodology/approach The data used to estimate the extent of distortions to producer incentives come from freely available World Bank and OECD sources that allow direct comparisons of China’s policy developments with those of more- and less-advanced economies. Findings The estimates of nominal and relative rates of assistance to farmers reveal that China has made the transition from negative to positive assistance to farmers far faster than an average developing country, and almost as fast as its Northeast Asian neighbors did in earlier decades at similar levels of real per capita incomes. That helped to ensure China remained food self-sufficient during the first two decades of reform; but self-sufficiency is now declining and is projected to continue to do so over the next decade under current policies. Research limitations/implications Preventing food self-sufficiency from declining further by increasing agricultural protection would be very costly, and is now unnecessary, thanks to the information and communication technology revolution that enables the government to directly support the well-being of poor farm households with conditional cash transfers. Originality/value This review of indicators of distortions to agricultural incentives in China is based on estimates of nominal and relative rates of assistance and consumer tax equivalents that are in the public domain. Its originality is in presenting the estimates for China in a comparative perspective, showing how they have evolved over time and as real per capita incomes have grown, and relating that to developments in China’s self-sufficiency in agricultural and food products. The paper also points to more-efficient ways of achieving societal objectives than using policy instruments that distort producer and consumer prices.

show abstract

“…et.al., (2014) thought that virtual water flow related to the grain resulted in negative impact on relevant development and induced to serious threat to food security. In addition, some researchers made relevant explanation on china's grain safety from many perspectives, such as global economy (Zhou, Xin, 2006), optimization (Shea, 2010), cultivated land (Zhang, 2013), economic ecologization (li, Zhang, 2016), macro economy (Xu, lu, Wang, 2016).…”

Section: The Question Proposedmentioning

confidence: 99%

Balance of Supply and Demand of the Cereal and Influencing Factors in China: From the Perspective of the Cost

2017

RIC

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

The balanced supply and demand of the cereal is essential for achieving economic sustainable development in China. The wheat and products, the rice (including the milled equivalent), and the maize and products are three main cereals in China, the three cereals but the rice (including the milled equivalent) in China were generally seriously comparatively insufficient before 1997, and then became fully sufficient. The co-integrative test demonstrated that there existed long-term equilibrium between balance of supply and demand and influencing factors, and the correcting coefficient was about 2.2 percent. As for balance degree of supply and demand, increase of machinery cost, daily-average labor price and indirect cost would improve it, increase of fertilizer expenditure and labor-input quantity would deteriorate it at short-term. The Granger causality test implied that balance of supply and demand owned interactive effect with laborer-input quantity, but not with the other cost. The highlight of this article was evaluating hypothesis of "Who will feed China" and influencing factors from perspective of the cost, achieving that the above hypothesis was not a real problem in China.

show abstract

Understanding China's grain procurement policy from a perspective of optimization

Cited by 6 publications

References 14 publications

An analysis of China's grain production: looking back and looking forward

An analysis of China's grain production: looking back and looking forward

From taxing to subsidizing farmers in China post-1978

Balance of Supply and Demand of the Cereal and Influencing Factors in China: From the Perspective of the Cost

Contact Info

Product

Resources

About