Uncertainty Forecasting Model for Mountain Flood Based on Bayesian Deep Learning
Songsong Wang,
Ouguan Xu
Abstract:Due to the characteristics of strong suddenness, high harmfulness, and frequent occurrence of mountain flood disasters in small watersheds, the accuracy and reliability of mountain flood forecasting are insufficient in small watersheds. This paper studies key theories and technologies, that is the uncertainty forecasting model based on hydrologic physical mechanism. We design the Bayesian Deep Learning (DL) forecasting models, it is suitable for the transfer of spatiotemporal factors caused by mountain floods … Show more
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