This paper presents the newly developed Hierarchical Bayesian model updating method for identification of civil structures. The proposed updating method is suitable for uncertainty quantification of model updating parameters, and probabilistic damage identification of the structural systems under changing environmental conditions. The Bayesian model updating frameworks in the literature have been successfully used for predicting the "parameter estimation uncertainty" of model parameters with the assumption that there is no underlying inherent variability in the updating parameters. However, different sources of uncertainty such as changing ambient temperature or wind speed, and loading conditions will introduce variability in structural mass and stiffness of civil structures. The Hierarchical Bayesian model updating is capable of predicting the underlying variability of updating parameters in addition to their estimation uncertainty. This approach is applied for uncertainty quantification and damage identification of a three-story shear building model. The proposed updating framework is finally implemented for uncertainty quantification of model updating results based on experimentally measured data of a footbridge which is exposed to severe environmental conditions. In this application, the stiffness parameter of the model is estimated as a function of measured temperature through the Hierarchical framework.
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IntroductionThe existence, location, and severity of damage can be potentially predicted from vibration measurements (e.g., modal data) and using Finite Element (FE) model updating techniques [1]. Readers are referred to [2-4] for detailed reviews on vibrationbased model updating and damage identification of structural systems. The FE model updating methods can be divided into two broad categories of deterministic and probabilistic approaches. The former is well established in the literature [1, 2,5], with several successful applications to civil structures [6][7][8][9][10][11]. However, the quality of structural identification results from the deterministic FE model updating methods can be significantly affected by first, the accuracy and informativeness of measured vibration data and second, the accuracy of the initial FE model. Several studies in the past have revealed the sensitivity of identified modal data to measurement noise, estimation errors, and most importantly changing environmental conditions [12][13][14][15][16]. Also, the structural FE models are usually associated with many idealizations and simplifications due to complexity and size of the civil structures. These modeling errors bring another source of uncertainty into the identification process [4,17,18]. Therefore, probabilistic FE model updating methods such as Bayesian methods have become popular to address the underlying structural uncertainties. However, although these Bayesian methods [19][20][21] can successfully predict the parameter estimation uncertainties, they do not consider the inherent variability of struc...