2016
DOI: 10.1214/16-aap1185
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Unbiasedness of some generalized adaptive multilevel splitting algorithms

Abstract: International audienceWe introduce a generalization of the Adaptive Multilevel Splitting algorithm in the discrete time dynamic setting, namely when it is applied to sample rare events associated with paths of Markov chains. By interpreting the algorithm as a sequential sampler in path space, we are able to build an estimator of the rare event probability (and of any non-normalized quantity associated with this event) which is unbiased, whatever the choice of the importance function and the number of replicas.… Show more

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Cited by 45 publications
(106 citation statements)
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“…Further theoretical and numerical investigations are contained in [14], especially in higher dimensional situations. The algorithm requires to use an importance function ξ taking values in R: the unbiasedness holds independently of the choice of ξ, but it is an open important question to study its impact on the efficiency.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Further theoretical and numerical investigations are contained in [14], especially in higher dimensional situations. The algorithm requires to use an importance function ξ taking values in R: the unbiasedness holds independently of the choice of ξ, but it is an open important question to study its impact on the efficiency.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…This version of the AMS is a variant of the algorithm that perfectly fits the theoretical frame from [3], so that the estimator of the rare event occurrence probability introduced in the following is unbiased.…”
Section: Mathematical Settingmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The mathematical proofs of the unbiasedness and consistency of the AMS estimator are not presented in this paper. We refer the reader to [2] and [3] for theoretical support. At each iteration q ≥ 0, the level Z q+1 is chosen in such a way that the probability for a path X j q to have an importance greater than Z q+1 (i.e.…”
Section: Interpretation Of the Replicas Weightsmentioning
confidence: 99%
See 1 more Smart Citation
“…More recently, a new method called Adaptive Multilevel Splitting (or AMS) has been proposed by Cérou and Guyader [2], and studied in a more general setting by Bréhier et al [3]. This method also aims to duplicate the interesting particles of the simulation, but uses the knowledge accumulated during the simulation itself to determin on the fly which particle should be duplicated and at which point.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%