Twitter as a tool for and object of political and electoral activity: Considering electoral context and variance among actors

McGregor, Shannon C.; Mourão, Rachel R.; Molyneux, Logan

doi:10.1080/19331681.2017.1308289

Cited by 60 publications

(43 citation statements)

References 41 publications

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“…The buzzer is literally a device that produces noise that attracts attention. The buzzer referred to in Twitter is an account that has a large influence, fanatical followers, their tweets are often retweeted, actively interact with followers and have a large number of followers [19], [20].…”

Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

The Effectiveness Of Election Silence According To PKPU (Regulation Of The General Election Comission) NO. 23 of 2018 Concerning Election Campaigns On Social Media

Fatmawati¹,

Ulfa²

2019

Proceedings of the Proceedings of the 1st International Conference on Business, Law and Pedagogy, ICBLP 2019, 13-15 February 20

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This study aims to look at the effectiveness of election silence legality related to PKPU (Regulation of The General Election Commission) no. 23 of 2018 concerning the Election Campaign for sympathizers on social media ahead of the 2019 presidential election. The method of this research is normative legal research which, among others, reviews PKPU no. 23 of 2018 on Election Campaign and Law no. 7 of 2017 on General Elections. The result shows that PKPU regulates sympathizers of supporting candidates to be officially registered, but social media accounts of those sympathizers are not included to campaign team accounts that have to be registered. Such fact raises speculation on the possibility of using those accounts as tool in conducting a covert campaign during Election Silence by campaign team. Thus, the aim of election silence which is to give prospective voters the opportunity to calmly consider before deciding can't be obtained. The limitation of registration quota of the social media accounts of campaign teams is not in line with the large number of sympathizers who use social media as tools to influence community for choosing the supported candidate.

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Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

The Effectiveness Of Election Silence According To PKPU (Regulation Of The General Election Comission) NO. 23 of 2018 Concerning Election Campaigns On Social Media

Fatmawati¹,

Ulfa²

2019

Proceedings of the Proceedings of the 1st International Conference on Business, Law and Pedagogy, ICBLP 2019, 13-15 February 20

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“…Presidential campaign prediction using Twitter data is a much-discussed research topic and the number of studies are still growing [9,10,24,27,37,51]. There is, however, no real benchmarking on the performance [22] to identify the best method to determine the winner of the elections or the voting share with the minimum error.…”

Section: Algorithms Comparison With State Of Artmentioning

confidence: 99%

Inferring the votes in a new political landscape: the case of the 2019 Spanish Presidential elections

2020

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For more than a decade now, with the emergence of Internet 2.0, users have been able to generate their own content and share it publicly with relative ease. This boom has witnessed a huge surge in the popularity of Online Social Networks (OSN), in particular the Twitter microblogging platform which allows its users to share text messages of up to 140 characters with their family, friends and followers [12]. More than 500 million messages, commonly known as tweets, are posted every day [20, 34]. Given that the main reason behind these publications is to express the opinion of the users, they have proven to be great interest to be analysed [14, 38, 48]. This huge amount of content circulating in OSN has attracted the attention of marketing agencies that seek capitalize on the behaviour of clients (current or future) to adjust their online campaigns and even use the social content (number of likes, retweets, etc.) to predict consumer behaviour in the real world [45, 53]. Recently this type of analysis

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“…Presidential campaign prediction using Twitter data is a much-discussed research topic and the number of studies are still growing (Awais et al, 2019;Bansal & Srivastava, 2019;Heredia et al, 2018;Jaidka et al, 2019;McGregor et al, 2017;Verma et al, 2019). There is, however, no real benchmarking on the performance (Gayo-Avello, 2013) to identify the best method to determine the winner of the elections or the voting share with the minimum error.…”

Section: Algorithms Comparison With State Of Artmentioning

confidence: 99%

Inferring the votes in a new political landscape. The case of the 2019 Spanish Presidential elections.

Grimaldi

Díaz

Arboleda

2020

Preprint

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Abstract The avalanche of personal and social data circulating in Online Social Networks over the past 10 years has attracted a great deal of interest from Scholars and Practitioners who seek to analyse not only their value, but also their limits. Predicting election results using Twitter data is an example of how data can directly influence the politic domain and it also serves an appealing research topic. This article aims to predict the results of the 2019 Spanish Presidential election and the voting share of each candidate, using Tweeter. The method combines sentiment analysis and volume information and compares the performance of five Machine Learning algorithms. Several data scrutiny uncertainties arose that hindered the prediction of the outcome. Consequently, the method develops a political lexicon-based framework to measure the sentiments of online users. Indeed, an accurate understanding of the contextual content of the tweets posted was vital in this work. Our results correctly ranked the candidates and determined the winner by means of a better prediction of votes than official research institutes.

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Twitter as a tool for and object of political and electoral activity: Considering electoral context and variance among actors

Cited by 60 publications

References 41 publications

The Effectiveness Of Election Silence According To PKPU (Regulation Of The General Election Comission) NO. 23 of 2018 Concerning Election Campaigns On Social Media

The Effectiveness Of Election Silence According To PKPU (Regulation Of The General Election Comission) NO. 23 of 2018 Concerning Election Campaigns On Social Media

Inferring the votes in a new political landscape: the case of the 2019 Spanish Presidential elections

Inferring the votes in a new political landscape. The case of the 2019 Spanish Presidential elections.

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