Background-Bioprostheses are widely used as an aortic valve substitute, but knowledge about prognosis is still incomplete. The purpose of this study was to provide insight into the age-related life expectancy and actual risks of reoperation and valve-related events of patients after aortic valve replacement with a porcine bioprosthesis. Methods and Results-We conducted a meta-analysis of 9 selected reports on stented porcine bioprostheses, including 5837 patients with a total follow-up of 31 874 patient-years. The annual rates of valve thrombosis, thromboembolism, hemorrhage, and nonstructural dysfunction were 0.03%, 0.87%, 0.38%, and 0.38%, respectively. The annual rate of endocarditis was estimated at 0.68% for Ͼ6 months of implantation and was 5 times as high during the first 6 months. Structural valve deterioration was described with a Weibull model that incorporated lower risks for older patients. These estimates were used to parameterize, calibrate, and validate a mathematical microsimulation model. The model was used to predict life expectancy and actual risks of reoperation and valve-related events after implantation for patients of different ages. For a 65-year-old male, these figures were 11.3 years, 28%, and 47%, respectively. Conclusions-The combination of meta-analysis with microsimulation enabled a detailed insight into the prognosis after aortic valve replacement with a bioprosthesis for patients of different ages. This information will be useful for patient counseling and clinical decision making. It also could serve as a baseline for the evaluation of newer valve types. Key Words: heart diseases Ⅲ surgery Ⅲ valves Ⅲ meta-analysis Ⅲ prognosis Ⅲ survival N early 40 years after the pioneering efforts of Starr and Edwards in heart valve replacement, a wide variety of mechanical, bioprosthetic, and human tissue prostheses are now available for clinical use. Mechanical valves have a greater durability and consequently lower reoperation rates than other valve types. However, they are associated with a greater risk of thromboembolism, which necessitates regular anticoagulation with the concomitant risk of hemorrhage. In contrast, bioprostheses have a low thrombogeneity, which in most patients obviates the need for regular anticoagulation and consequently reduces hemorrhagic accidents. However, the main factor limiting their use is the propensity to undergo tissue degeneration, often necessitating reoperation. Human tissue valves have a relatively low rate of thromboembolism and endocarditis. However, the long-term incidence of structural valve deterioration (SVD) of these valves is uncertain, and human valves are scarce. [1][2][3] With the aging of the general population, the number of elderly patients requiring aortic valve replacement has increased rapidly during recent years. Hence, the choice and long-term performance of a valve prosthesis becomes of paramount importance. Currently, bioprostheses are recommended for elderly patients who do not have risk factors for thromboembolism. These valves may ...