Background and Purpose
Shutter speed model analysis of DCE-MRI allows estimation of τi, a measure of cellular energy metabolism and Ktrans, a measure of hemodynamics. The purpose of this study was to investigate the prognostic utility of pretreatment τi and Ktrans in predicting OS in patients with HNSCC and to stratify p16-positive patients based upon survival outcome.
Materials and Methods
A cohort of 60 patients underwent DCE-MRI prior to treatment. Median τi and Ktrans values from metastatic nodes were computed from each patient. Kaplan-Meier analyses were performed to associate τi and Ktrans and their combinations with OS for first 2, 5-years and beyond (median duration>7-years).
Results
By last date of observation, 18 patients had died and median follow-up for surviving patients (n=42) was 8.32-years. Patients with high τi (4-deaths) had significantly (p=0.014) prolonged OS by 5-years compared to those with low τi (13-deaths). Similarly, patients with high τi (4-deaths) had significantly (p=0.006) longer OS at long-term duration than those with low τi (14-deaths). However, Ktrans was a significant predictor for only 5-years follow-up period. There was some evidence (p<0.10) to suggest that τi and Ktrans were associated with OS for first 2-years. Patients with high τi and high Ktrans were associated with significantly (p<0.01) longer OS compared to other groups for all follow-up periods. Additionally, p16-positive patients with high τi and high Ktrans demonstrated a trend towards the longest OS.
Conclusions
Combined analysis of τi and Ktrans provided the best model to predict OS in HNSCC patients.