Trends and variability of storminess in the Northeast Atlantic region, 1874–2007

Wang, Xiaolan L.; Zwiers, Francis W.; Swail, Val R.; Feng, Yang

doi:10.1007/s00382-008-0504-5

Cited by 109 publications

(154 citation statements)

References 30 publications

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“…The long-term negative trend in the wind climate for summer (Wang et al 2009a(Wang et al , 2011 over the southern Baltic Sea region agrees with the findings of Kaszewski and Filipiuk (2003). Based on weather type classifications over central Europe for summer 1881-1998, they found a tendency towards less zonal and increased meridional flow which could explain the decreasing wind speeds in summer.…”

Section: Long-term Trends Versus Decadal Variabilitysupporting

confidence: 82%

“…For the period 1878-2007, Wang et al (2011) found weak negative trends in the 99th percentiles As shown in Fig. 4.10, HiResAFF confirms decreasing seasonal mean wind speeds in summer (Wang et al 2011) and the peak in summer wind speeds in the 1880s (Wang et al 2009a), that is over the southern Baltic Sea region. However, no increased summer winds are reconstructed for the 1880s over the northern and eastern Baltic Sea region highlighting regional differences in the wind climate.…”

Section: Long-term Wind Climatementioning

confidence: 63%

“…However, no increased summer winds are reconstructed for the 1880s over the northern and eastern Baltic Sea region highlighting regional differences in the wind climate. While Wang et al (2009a) attributed high annual storminess in the 1880s mainly to higher storminess in summer, HiResAFF shows higher mean wind speeds in all seasons except autumn over the southern and central Baltic Sea region in the 1880s.…”

Section: Long-term Wind Climatementioning

confidence: 95%

“…At the same time, less cyclonic activity is observed over the Mediterranean. While there is a general increase in the zonality of the flow in winter, the opposite appears to occur in summer (Kaszewski and Filipiuk 2003;Wang et al 2009a). …”

Section: Circulation Changes In Recent Decadesmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…While the previous studies analysed historical storminess on an annual basis only, Wang et al (2009aWang et al ( ) repeated and updated (1874Wang et al ( -2007 previous studies based on the 99th percentiles of geostrophic wind speed over the NE Atlantic, and northern and central Europe and focused more on seasonal and regional differences. They found that the maxima in the 1990s were due to winter storminess, while the high annual storm values in the 1880s were mainly due to summer storminess.…”

Section: Long-term Wind Climatementioning

confidence: 99%

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Recent Change—Atmosphere

Rutgersson

Jaagus

Schenk

et al. 2015

Regional Climate Studies

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This chapter describes observed changes in atmospheric conditions in the Baltic Sea drainage basin over the past 200-300 years. The Baltic Sea area is relatively unique with a dense observational network covering an extended time period. Data analysis covers an early period with sparse and relatively uncertain measurements, a period with well-developed synoptic stations, and a final period with 30+ years of satellite data and sounding systems. The atmospheric circulation in the European/Atlantic sector has an important role in the regional climate of the Baltic Sea basin, especially the North Atlantic Oscillation. Warming has been observed, particularly in spring, and has been stronger in the northern regions. There has been a northward shift in storm tracks, as well as increased cyclonic activity in recent decades and an increased persistence of weather types. There are no long-term trends in annual wind statistics since the nineteenth century, but much variation at the (multi-)decadal timescale. There are also no long-term trends in precipitation, but an indication of longer precipitation periods and possibly an increased risk of extreme precipitation events.

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Section: Long-term Trends Versus Decadal Variabilitysupporting

confidence: 82%

Section: Long-term Wind Climatementioning

confidence: 63%

Section: Long-term Wind Climatementioning

confidence: 95%

Section: Circulation Changes In Recent Decadesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Long-term Wind Climatementioning

confidence: 99%

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Recent Change—Atmosphere

Rutgersson

Jaagus

Schenk

et al. 2015

Regional Climate Studies

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Wave power variability and trends across the North Atlantic influenced by decadal climate patterns

Bromirski

Cayan

2015

JGR Oceans

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Subsynoptic‐scale features associated with extreme surface gusts in UK extratropical cyclone events

Earl

Dorling

Starks

et al. 2017

Geophysical Research Letters

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Numerous studies have addressed the mesoscale features within extratropical cyclones (ETCs) that are responsible for the most destructive winds, though few have utilized surface observation data, and most are based on case studies. By using a 39‐station UK surface observation network, coupled with in‐depth analysis of the causes of extreme gusts during the period 2008–2014, we show that larger‐scale features (warm and cold conveyer belts) are most commonly associated with the top 1% of UK gusts but smaller‐scale features generate the most extreme winds. The cold conveyor belt is far more destructive when joining the momentum of the ETC, rather than earlier in its trajectory, ahead of the approaching warm front. Sting jets and convective lines account for two thirds of severe surface gusts in the UK.

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Trends and variability of storminess in the Northeast Atlantic region, 1874–2007

Cited by 109 publications

References 30 publications

Recent Change—Atmosphere

Recent Change—Atmosphere

Wave power variability and trends across the North Atlantic influenced by decadal climate patterns

Subsynoptic‐scale features associated with extreme surface gusts in UK extratropical cyclone events

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