2015
DOI: 10.4236/me.2015.62021
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Trade Liberalization and Tax Revenue Performance in Uganda

Abstract: The study uses fixed and random effects models to establish the determinants of tax revenue performance. The data cover the period 1994 to 2012, with the results suggesting that exchange rates, trade openness and share of industry to GDP positively influence tax revenue performance while the agriculture share to GDP and foreign aid negatively influence tax revenue performance. Importantly the coefficient for trade openness that is used as a proxy for trade liberalization indicates a positive influence on tax r… Show more

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Cited by 24 publications
(29 citation statements)
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“…The FGLS model has more persistent impact then GMM model as it leads to higher increments for a given increase in trade openness. The result is consistent with (Addison and Levin, 2006); (Gaalya, 2015), (Gaalya et al, 2017), (Keen and Alejandro, 2004), (Rodrik, 1998).…”
Section: Dependent Variable: Lntrsupporting
confidence: 88%
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“…The FGLS model has more persistent impact then GMM model as it leads to higher increments for a given increase in trade openness. The result is consistent with (Addison and Levin, 2006); (Gaalya, 2015), (Gaalya et al, 2017), (Keen and Alejandro, 2004), (Rodrik, 1998).…”
Section: Dependent Variable: Lntrsupporting
confidence: 88%
“…Thus, the cumulative effect is that exchange rate appreciation leads to decrease in tax revenue of the region. The OER is statistically significant at 1 and 10% for FGLS and GMM models, respectively (Gaalya, 2015). Holding other things constant, for FGLS model a 1% growth in OER leads to 0.0226% decrease in growth of tax revenue as a ratio of GDP whereas for GMM model a 1% growth in OER leads to 0.236% decrease in growth of tax revenue.…”
Section: Dependent Variable: Lntrmentioning
confidence: 87%
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“…Nevertheless, the effect of trade liberalization on tax revenue generation may be ambiguous. In fact, trade liberalization, particularly a reduction of import tariffs, could lead to revenue reduction (Tupy, 2005 andGaalya, 2015). This leads to an argument whether trade liberalization is a potential source of tax revenue losses, especially for low income countries which have high dependency on international trade revenue.…”
Section: Literature Reviewmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Typically this is true for developing and least-developed countries, notably in Africa. See for example [Kabbashi, 2005;Pupongsak, 2009;Cottarelli, 2011;Mushtaq et al, 2012;Nwosa et al, 2012;Gaalya, 2015] etc.…”
Section: Literature Reviewmentioning
confidence: 99%