2020
DOI: 10.33776/rem.v0i56.4832
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Tracking the Characteristics of Economic Growth Vulnerability to COVID-19: A Preliminary Analysis

Abstract: In response to the global expansion of COVID-19, governments around the world have implemented social distancing measures resulting in an unprecedented fall in economic activity. Consequently, the economic growth forecasts for 2020 have been adjusted downward in most countries, yet the magnitude of the decline has been different. In this article, we examine the economic vulnerability to COVID-19-measured as the change in GDP growth forecasts for 2020-and its determinants for a sample of 194 countries. We ident… Show more

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Cited by 2 publications
(2 citation statements)
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“…The second quadrant contains two heterogeneous clusters: "debt" and "trade". The first, with almost 20 works, includes those that analyze the high level of indebtedness that countries generally present and, given that situation, the need to increase public spending when dealing with the COVID-19 crisis (Albert & Tercero-Lucas, 2020;Ruiz, 2020;Cruz et al, 2020;Carrasco & Tovar-García, 2020). Other studies in this block analyze the effect of the monetary policy applied during the 2008 crisis on the profitability of sovereign debt (Borrallo & Hierro, 2015), and how development aid influences the debt sustainability of countries in sub-Saharan Africa (Mongongo et al, 2019).…”
Section: Display Of the Topicsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The second quadrant contains two heterogeneous clusters: "debt" and "trade". The first, with almost 20 works, includes those that analyze the high level of indebtedness that countries generally present and, given that situation, the need to increase public spending when dealing with the COVID-19 crisis (Albert & Tercero-Lucas, 2020;Ruiz, 2020;Cruz et al, 2020;Carrasco & Tovar-García, 2020). Other studies in this block analyze the effect of the monetary policy applied during the 2008 crisis on the profitability of sovereign debt (Borrallo & Hierro, 2015), and how development aid influences the debt sustainability of countries in sub-Saharan Africa (Mongongo et al, 2019).…”
Section: Display Of the Topicsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Since March 2020, the increase in COVID-19 infections led to governments across the world applying strict measures to mitigate the consequences of the pandemic on their citizens (Caplanova et al, 2021a). These measures included complete lockdowns, the partial closure of borders and social distancing, adversely affecting not only economic activity but also vital spheres for economic growth such as tourism and travel (Carrasco & Tovar-Garcia, 2020;Korzeb & Niedziółka, 2020;Adham, 2021;Zinecker et al, 2021). Consequently, the highly positive economic growth forecasts for 2020 were adjusted to negative values for most countries, indicating a notable phase of economic recession.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%