Towards 5G: Scenario-based assessment of the future supply and demand for mobile telecommunications infrastructure

Oughton, Edward J.; Frías, Zoraida; Russell, Tom; Sicker, Douglas; Cleevely, David

doi:10.1016/j.techfore.2018.03.016

Cited by 88 publications

(36 citation statements)

References 64 publications

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“…In all cases, during the last three decades, the telecommunication industry experienced a dynamic equilibrium, which was characterised by frequent additional updates of the technological "generations", which happened almost every decade (Cave, 2018). This dynamic was sustained by a widespread technological change (Oughton et al, 2018;Curwen and Whalley, 2004;Han and Sohn, 2016) obliging the operators of the telecommunication industry to continuously innovate and adapt to the new technologies (Asimakopoulos and Whalley, 2017). Nonetheless, even if the industry is used to technological change and new generation developments, sometimes with more than incremental improvement in term of performances, the fifth generation of mobile telecommunication promises to offer a much deeper change than has ever previously occurred (Teece, 2018).…”

Section: The Evolution Of "Generations" Of Technologies In Mobile Commentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The discussion on the strategical relevance of 5G is flourishing, and many scholars suggest that this generation will lead a new industrial revolution, well beyond the mobile telecommunications industry, for the pervasive dimension of this technological jump (Cave, 2018;DCMS, 2018;Oughton et al, 2018;Teece, 2018). In particular, the implementation of 5G, due to the tremendous increase in the speed of transmission (see Table 1), its larger bandwidth and, particularly, the improvements in relation to latency, which will cause a five-fold reduction (on average, from 50ms to 10ms), is expected to enable the development of new fields of application, favouring the rising of IoT solutions (Teece, 2018).…”

Section: The Evolution Of "Generations" Of Technologies In Mobile Commentioning

confidence: 99%

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Ubiquitous Technologies and 5G Development. Who Owns the Rarest Technologies?

2020

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The Robert Schuman Centre for Advanced Studies, created in 1992 and currently directed by Professor Brigid Laffan, aims to develop inter-disciplinary and comparative research on the major issues facing the process of European integration, European societies and Europe's place in 21 st century global politics. The Centre is home to a large post-doctoral programme and hosts major research programmes, projects and data sets, in addition to a range of working groups and ad hoc initiatives. The research agenda is organised around a set of core themes and is continuously evolving, reflecting the changing agenda of European integration, the expanding membership of the European Union, developments in Europe's neighbourhood and the wider world.

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Section: The Evolution Of "Generations" Of Technologies In Mobile Commentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: The Evolution Of "Generations" Of Technologies In Mobile Commentioning

confidence: 99%

Ubiquitous Technologies and 5G Development. Who Owns the Rarest Technologies?

2020

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“…Long-term dynamics are explored through narratives of technological change and consumer acceptance that affect the attributes of infrastructure assets and demand for infrastructure services. The infrastructure sectors are represented by detailed engineering simulation models that are linked with one another, and while a comprehensive description of each model is beyond the theoretical focus of this paper, they are available for energy [50], transport [51], digital communications [52,53], solid waste [54,55], and water [56,57]. The linkages between these models represent the critical dependencies between sectors (see Figure 1) including flows ranging from resources to information.…”

Section: The Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortiummentioning

confidence: 99%

Infrastructure as a Complex Adaptive System

et al. 2018

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National infrastructure systems spanning energy, transport, digital, waste, and water are well recognised as complex and interdependent. While some policy makers have been keen to adopt the narrative of complexity, the application of complexity-based methods in public policy decision-making has been restricted by the lack of innovation in associated methodologies and tools. In this paper we firstly evaluate the application of complex adaptive systems theory to infrastructure systems, comparing and contrasting this approach with traditional systems theory. We secondly identify five key theoretical properties of complex adaptive systems including adaptive agents, diverse agents, dynamics, irreversibility, and emergence, which are exhibited across three hierarchical levels ranging from agents, to networks, to systems. With these properties in mind, we then present a case study on the development of a system-of-systems modelling approach based on complex adaptive systems theory capable of modelling an emergent national infrastructure system, driven by agent-level decisions with explicitly modelled interdependencies between energy, transport, digital, waste, and water. Indeed, the novel contribution of the paper is the articulation of the case study describing a decade of research which applies complex adaptive systems properties to the development of a national infrastructure system-of-systems model. This approach has been used by the UK National Infrastructure Commission to produce a National Infrastructure Assessment which is capable of coordinating infrastructure policy across a historically fragmented governance landscape spanning eight government departments. The application will continue to be pertinent moving forward due to the continuing complexity of interdependent infrastructure systems, particularly the challenges of increased electrification and the proliferation of the Internet of Things.

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“…Infrastructure simulation models, such as the Combined Gas and Electricity Network model -CGEN++ [1], the high-resolution energy demand model HIRE [2], the road transport model [9,10] and the Cambridge Communications Assessment Model [12,14] have been developed within the MISTRAL programme and used to assess the performance of their respective infrastructure systems over long time scales. The availability of infrastructure data differs across the sectors, and the spatial and temporal resolution at which the models are resolved is a function of both data availability and the properties of the system under examination.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

A Software Framework for the Integration of Infrastructure Simulation Models

Usher¹,

Russell

2019

JORS

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Infrastructure systems, such as those that generate and transmit energy, process waste water and enable the transportation of people and goods, provide fundamental services that underpin modern society. The simulation model integration framework (smif) is an open source Python package which supports the coupling and running of infrastructure simulation models as a system-of-systems. smif connects individual simulation models -written in different programming languages and using different methods of data input and output -allowing users to compose a system-of-systems with explicit configuration of the connections and data transformations between models. Users can then run system-of-systems models using various data sources in order to explore the effects of uncertainty in external factors and model parameterisations, and to test alternative approaches to long-term decision-making and planning across the connected models.

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Towards 5G: Scenario-based assessment of the future supply and demand for mobile telecommunications infrastructure

Cited by 88 publications

References 64 publications

Ubiquitous Technologies and 5G Development. Who Owns the Rarest Technologies?

Ubiquitous Technologies and 5G Development. Who Owns the Rarest Technologies?

Infrastructure as a Complex Adaptive System

A Software Framework for the Integration of Infrastructure Simulation Models

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