2006
DOI: 10.1111/j.1468-5876.2006.00400.x
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Tourism, Dutch Disease and Welfare in an Open Dynamic Economy

Abstract: This paper examines the effects of an expansion in tourism on capital accumulation, sectoral output and resident welfare in an open economy with an externality in the traded good sector. An expansion of tourism increases the relative price of the nontraded good, improves the tertiary terms of trade and hence yields a gain in revenue. However, this increase in the relative price of nontraded goods results in a lowering of the demand for capital used in the traded sector. The subsequent de-industrialization in t… Show more

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Cited by 126 publications
(104 citation statements)
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“…Hence, we may be facing a case that will culminate in deindustrialisation (Chao et al, 2006;Sheng, 2011). In contrast, (Kenell, 2008) investigated the case of Thailand's increasing tourism activity, concluding that the harmful DD effects of deindustrialisation and RER appreciation did not materialise.…”
Section: Other Initial Forms Of Dutch Diseasementioning
confidence: 99%
“…Hence, we may be facing a case that will culminate in deindustrialisation (Chao et al, 2006;Sheng, 2011). In contrast, (Kenell, 2008) investigated the case of Thailand's increasing tourism activity, concluding that the harmful DD effects of deindustrialisation and RER appreciation did not materialise.…”
Section: Other Initial Forms Of Dutch Diseasementioning
confidence: 99%
“…We get this "new insight" because our model explicitly shows transitional processes in the economic dynamics. As demonstrated by Chao et al (2006), an expansion of tourism can result in capital decumulation in a two-sector dynamic model with a capital-generating externality. Our simulation demonstrates the same conclusion without any externality.…”
Section: Comparative Dynamic Analysismentioning
confidence: 99%
“…This gives rise to a terms-of-trade improvement but also worsens the distortion in consumption caused by cash in advance. Chao et al (2006) examine the effects of an expansion in tourism on capital accumulation, industry output and resident welfare in an open economy with an externality in the traded good sector. They find that although an expansion of tourism increases the relative price of the non-traded good, improves the tertiary terms of trade and yields a gain in revenue, it results in a lowering of the demand for capital used in the traded sector, with a subsequent de-industrialization in the traded good sector which may lower resident welfare.…”
Section: Theoretical Frameworkmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…A few studies exist on the impact of tourism on prices (and other variables, such as gross domestic product, employment and exchange rates) from a macroeconomic point of view (Hazari and Ng, 1993;Adams and Parmenter, 1995;Zhou et al, 1997;Nowak et al, 2003;Narayan, 2004;Chao et al, 2005Chao et al, , 2006. These studies rely on strong assumptions rather than on empirical results (see the 'theoretical framework' section).…”
mentioning
confidence: 99%