Abstract. On the eastern Tibetan Plateau, the growth of trees is
strongly affected by climate change. Previous researchers have found that
climate warming changes thermal and hydraulic conditions, lengthening the
growing season and promoting tree growth. Some studies have analyzed the
effects of drought, precipitation, and temperature on tree growth. However,
previous studies have mainly focused on natural forests, with few studies on
the response of plantations to climate change. Therefore, we studied the
relationship between dendrochronology (basal area increment, BAI),
normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), and climate factors to
explore the response of Picea likiangensis var. rubescens plantations to climate change. The results
showed that from 1990 to 2018, the temperature in the study area increased
significantly; the rate of increase was 0.39∘ per decade. Among the
climate factors, self-calibrated Palmer drought severity index (scPDSI) had
the most significant impact on BAI. From P_May (P_ represents the month of
the previous year) to December, BAI was always negatively correlated with
the scPDSI, with 9 months being significantly negatively correlated. BAI
was significantly positively correlated with the minimum 2 m temperature
(TMN) in P_July, P_September, July, and September. BAI was significantly
positively correlated with the maximum 2 m temperature (TMX) in P_October,
P_December, and July. BAI was significantly positively correlated with the
mean 2 m temperature (TMP) in P_July, P_December, and July. There is a
significant positive correlation between BAI and annual NDVI (NDVIa), which
means that NDVI can be used to study the response of plantations to climate
change. Our study contributes to a better understanding of the response of
plantation growth in high-altitude areas to climate change, which is needed
by forest managers.