Abstract:Understanding and managing coupled human and natural systems (CHANS) is a central challenge of the 21st century, but more focus is needed to pursue the most important questions within this vast field given limited research capacity and funding. We present 40 important questions for CHANS research, identified through a two-part crowdsourcing exercise within the CHANS community. We solicited members of the International Network of Research on Coupled Human and Natural Systems (CHANS-Net) to submit up to three qu… Show more
“…However, developing generalizable understanding of the spatiotemporal scales spanned by the water cycle has been a longstanding challenge in hydrology, water management, and at their intersection (Blöschl et al, ; Blöschl & Sivapalan, ; Daniell & Barreteau, ; Klemeš, ). In particular, recent work has identified translating understanding of coupled human and natural systems across scales as a key future research priority to provide management‐relevant science (Konar et al, ; Kramer et al, ). While sociohydrology has been suggested as a potential tool to bridge the gaps between watershed‐scale and global‐scale water management (Di Baldassarre et al, ), specific approaches for integrating global water sustainability targets with local water management remain lacking.…”
Section: Local Water Resources and Earth System Stabilitymentioning
The planetary boundaries framework defines the “safe operating space for humanity” represented by nine global processes that can destabilize the Earth System if perturbed. The water planetary boundary attempts to provide a global limit to anthropogenic water cycle modifications, but it has been challenging to translate and apply it to the regional and local scales at which water problems and management typically occur. We develop a cross‐scale approach by which the water planetary boundary could guide sustainable water management and governance at subglobal contexts defined by physical features (e.g., watershed or aquifer), political borders (e.g., city, nation, or group of nations), or commercial entities (e.g., corporation, trade group, or financial institution). The application of the water planetary boundary at these subglobal contexts occurs via two approaches: (i) calculating fair shares, in which local water cycle modifications are compared to that context's allocation of the global safe operating space, taking into account biophysical, socioeconomic, and ethical considerations; and (ii) defining a local safe operating space, in which interactions between water stores and Earth System components are used to define local boundaries required for sustaining the local water system in stable conditions, which we demonstrate with a case study of the Cienaga Grande de Santa Marta wetlands in Colombia. By harmonizing these two approaches, the water planetary boundary can ensure that water cycle modifications remain within both local and global boundaries and complement existing water management and governance approaches.
“…However, developing generalizable understanding of the spatiotemporal scales spanned by the water cycle has been a longstanding challenge in hydrology, water management, and at their intersection (Blöschl et al, ; Blöschl & Sivapalan, ; Daniell & Barreteau, ; Klemeš, ). In particular, recent work has identified translating understanding of coupled human and natural systems across scales as a key future research priority to provide management‐relevant science (Konar et al, ; Kramer et al, ). While sociohydrology has been suggested as a potential tool to bridge the gaps between watershed‐scale and global‐scale water management (Di Baldassarre et al, ), specific approaches for integrating global water sustainability targets with local water management remain lacking.…”
Section: Local Water Resources and Earth System Stabilitymentioning
The planetary boundaries framework defines the “safe operating space for humanity” represented by nine global processes that can destabilize the Earth System if perturbed. The water planetary boundary attempts to provide a global limit to anthropogenic water cycle modifications, but it has been challenging to translate and apply it to the regional and local scales at which water problems and management typically occur. We develop a cross‐scale approach by which the water planetary boundary could guide sustainable water management and governance at subglobal contexts defined by physical features (e.g., watershed or aquifer), political borders (e.g., city, nation, or group of nations), or commercial entities (e.g., corporation, trade group, or financial institution). The application of the water planetary boundary at these subglobal contexts occurs via two approaches: (i) calculating fair shares, in which local water cycle modifications are compared to that context's allocation of the global safe operating space, taking into account biophysical, socioeconomic, and ethical considerations; and (ii) defining a local safe operating space, in which interactions between water stores and Earth System components are used to define local boundaries required for sustaining the local water system in stable conditions, which we demonstrate with a case study of the Cienaga Grande de Santa Marta wetlands in Colombia. By harmonizing these two approaches, the water planetary boundary can ensure that water cycle modifications remain within both local and global boundaries and complement existing water management and governance approaches.
“…In addition, university curricula generally do not emphasize CHANS science and practice. In a survey of 180 academics (and 27 non-academics) affi liated with the International Network of Research on CHANS, education ranked 10th of 12 categories in terms of importance for the "top 40" questions in CHANS research, placing it well behind categories such as land-use change, climate change, and sustainable development (Kramer et al 2017 ). Only two education-related questions made the top 40; neither focused on training the next generation of CHANS scientists, much less updating university curricula to encompass CHANS.…”
“…Integrating these data is a serious challenge that has been identified as one of the most pressing questions in CHANS research (Kramer et al. ). CHANS frequently have feedback loops, spatiotemporal heterogeneity, and thresholds in system state, which can result in emergent nonlinear dynamics that traditional statistical models fail to predict (Alberti et al.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…CHANS tend to be idiosyncratic and context-specific, requiring data integration methods that are flexible enough to be readily adapted to novel data formats and systems. Integrating these data is a serious challenge that has been identified as one of the most pressing questions in CHANS research (Kramer et al 2017). CHANS frequently have feedback loops, spatiotemporal heterogeneity, and thresholds in system state, which can result in emergent nonlinear dynamics that traditional statistical models fail to predict (Alberti et al 2011, Liu et al 2015.…”
Understanding how metapopulations persist in dynamic working landscapes requires assessing the behaviors of key actors that change patches as well as intrinsic factors driving turnover. Coupled human and natural systems (CHANS) research uses a multidisciplinary approach to identify the key actors, processes, and feedbacks that drive metapopulation and landscape dynamics. We describe a framework for modeling metapopulations in CHANS that integrates ecological and social data by coupling stochastic patch occupancy models of metapopulation dynamics with agent‐based models of land‐use change. We then apply this framework to metapopulations of the threatened black rail (Laterallus jamaicensis) and widespread Virginia rail (Rallus limicola) that inhabit patchy, irrigation‐fed wetlands in the rangelands of the California Sierra Nevada foothills. We collected data from five diverse sources (rail occupancy surveys, land‐use change mapping, a survey of landowner decision making, climate and reservoir databases, and mosquito trapping and West Nile virus testing) and integrated them into an agent‐based stochastic patch occupancy model. We used the model to (1) quantify the drivers of metapopulation dynamics, and the potential interactions and feedbacks among them; (2) test predictions of the behavior of metapopulations in dynamic working landscapes; and (3) evaluate the impact of three policy options on metapopulation persistence (irrigation district water cutbacks during drought, incentives for landowners to create wetlands, and incentives for landowners to protect wetlands). Complex metapopulation dynamics emerged when landscapes functioned as CHANS, highlighting the importance of integrating human activities and other ecological processes into metapopulation models. Rail metapopulations were strongly top‐down regulated by precipitation, and the black rail's decade‐long decline was caused by the combination of West Nile virus and drought. Theoretical predictions of the two metapopulations’ responses to dynamic landscapes and incentive programs were complicated by heterogeneity in patch quality and CHANS couplings, respectively. Irrigation cutbacks during drought posed a serious extinction risk that neither incentive policy effectively ameliorated.
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