2012
DOI: 10.3899/jrheum.111171
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Timing and Magnitude of Initial Change in Disease Activity Score 28 Predicts the Likelihood of Achieving Low Disease Activity at 1 Year in Rheumatoid Arthritis Patients Treated with Certolizumab Pegol: A Post-hoc Analysis of the RAPID 1 Trial

Abstract: Failure to achieve improvement in DAS28 within the first 12 weeks of therapy was predictive of a low probability of achieving LDA at Year 1. Moreover, the accuracy of the prediction was found to be strongly dependent on the magnitude and timing of the lack of the response. (Clinical Trial Registration Nos. NCT00152386 and NCT00175877).

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Cited by 66 publications
(36 citation statements)
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References 11 publications
(20 reference statements)
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“…Although it is possible that the rapid 4-week response to the combination of DMARDs represents regression to the mean, the continued good response of these patients argues against this. Our data also are consistent with recent studies demonstrating that early good response to combination therapy (in the TEAR and RAPID 1 trials) is associated with a continued good response 21 22. In these studies, rapid response was ascertained 12 weeks after initiation of combination therapy.…”
Section: Discussionsupporting
confidence: 92%
“…Although it is possible that the rapid 4-week response to the combination of DMARDs represents regression to the mean, the continued good response of these patients argues against this. Our data also are consistent with recent studies demonstrating that early good response to combination therapy (in the TEAR and RAPID 1 trials) is associated with a continued good response 21 22. In these studies, rapid response was ascertained 12 weeks after initiation of combination therapy.…”
Section: Discussionsupporting
confidence: 92%
“…Thus, there was a relatively low proportion of such patients (∼32%) who achieved low disease activity at week 52. Response at earlier time points and higher thresholds for response in order to classify a patient as a predicted responder (>20%) would increase the likelihood of achieving low disease activity in the future, as has been shown in other studies of CZP 21, 22. Also, it is theoretically possible that in order to achieve performance comparable to that of the CDAI, the absolute or relative improvement in the RAPID‐3 score might be different than the published cut points that we tested.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 74%
“…Improvement by 3 months refers to the fact that if a minimal change is not achieved, there is only a low likelihood of reaching the treatment target. Thus, a change to a better disease activity state should be seen at 3 months or a relative improvement, pertaining to at least 50% improvement in activity by a composite score, at that point in time, in order to have a considerable chance of reaching the target 31 100 112 113. Of note, adjustment of therapy includes the optimisation of MTX (or other csDMARD) dose or route of administration,4 or intra-articular injections of GC in the presence of one or few residual active joints, and refers to a change of drugs only if these measures have not been successful or are not appropriate.…”
Section: Resultsmentioning
confidence: 99%