2016
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1522445113
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Time discounting and criminal behavior

Abstract: One of the most basic predictions of almost any model of crime is that individual time preferences matter. However, empirical evidence on this fundamental property is essentially nonexistent. To our knowledge, this paper provides the first pieces of evidence on the link between time discounting and crime. We use a unique dataset that combines a survey-based measure of time discount rates (at age 13) with detailed longitudinal register data on criminal behavior spanning over 18 y. Our results show that individu… Show more

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Cited by 68 publications
(44 citation statements)
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References 35 publications
(24 reference statements)
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“…Go/no‐go performance also predicted risk of rearrest in two studies (Aharoni et al, ; Steele et al, ). Finally, a large longitudinal study of risk factors among Swedish children found that impulsive delay discounting at age 13 prospectively predicted criminal behaviour in adulthood (Åkerlund et al, ).. These findings suggest that performance on technology‐based impulse control measures could be investigated as a screening tool to predict risk of future criminal involvement and other maladaptive behaviours.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
See 1 more Smart Citation
“…Go/no‐go performance also predicted risk of rearrest in two studies (Aharoni et al, ; Steele et al, ). Finally, a large longitudinal study of risk factors among Swedish children found that impulsive delay discounting at age 13 prospectively predicted criminal behaviour in adulthood (Åkerlund et al, ).. These findings suggest that performance on technology‐based impulse control measures could be investigated as a screening tool to predict risk of future criminal involvement and other maladaptive behaviours.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…One form of impulsive decision‐making is delay discounting, or the tendency to seek immediate, smaller rewards instead of larger rewards that are delayed in time. Not surprisingly, previous research has found that offenders exhibit problems delaying gratification on delay discounting tasks (Åkerlund, Golsteyn, Grönqvist, & Lindahl, ; Carroll et al, ; Lee et al, ; Mishra & Lalumière, ). In addition, steeper devaluing of delayed rewards significantly predicts future engagement in criminal behaviour, even after controlling for several other known risk factors (Lee et al, ).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 95%
“…They concluded "that low future time preference is a driver of criminal behavior" (p. 31). The same was concluded by Akerlund et al (2016) after studying data for a Stockholm birth cohort at age 13. They aggregated that the link was much stronger for males with low intelligence.…”
Section: Literature Reviewmentioning
confidence: 54%
“…Since research has found that intertemporal 4 preferences are predictive of a wide variety of important life outcomes, ranging from SAT scores, graduating 5 from college, and income to anti-social behaviors, e.g. gambling or drug abuse [1,13,24,28,45], they are 6 frequently studied in both humans and animals across multiple disciplines, including marketing, economics, 7 psychology, and neuroscience.…”
mentioning
confidence: 99%