A ll-cause mortality risk has seldom been compared between the period up to and the period after coronary heart disease (CHD) and stroke. Such unified epidemiological approach allows quantifying the effect of CHD and stroke events on all-cause mortality relative to a baseline risk period. We addressed this issue within the Prospective Epidemiological Study of Myocardial Infarction (PRIME).
Methods
Study Population and Case AscertainmentThe study population comprised 10 424 men 50 to 59 years of age who were recruited in 1991-1994 from 4 WHO MONICA centers in France (N=7855) and Northern Ireland (N=2747) and followed up for all-cause mortality over 10 years. 1 Incident CHD (stable and unstable angina, myocardial infarction, and coronary death) and ischemic stroke events were adjudicated as reported previously. 1,2
Study PeriodsAll-cause mortality in the period up to CHD and stroke, including deaths that occurred within 28 days of such events, was investigated in the entire study population. All cause mortality in the period after CHD or stroke was investigated in those who survived >28 days after such events.
Statistical AnalysisHazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals of all-cause mortality were estimated by Cox's proportional hazards models using intercurrent CHD and stroke events as time-dependent covariates (Simple Model). 3 Hazard ratios were further adjusted for country and Background and Purpose-The aim was to investigate prospectively the all-cause mortality risk up to and after coronary heart disease (CHD) and stroke events in European middle-aged men. Methods-The study population comprised 10 424 men 50 to 59 years of age recruited between 1991 and 1994 in France (N=7855) and Northern Ireland (N=2747) within the Prospective Epidemiological Study of Myocardial Infarction. Incident CHD and stroke events and deaths from all causes were prospectively registered during the 10-year follow-up. In Cox's proportional hazards regression analysis, CHD and stroke events during follow-up were used as time-dependent covariates. Results-A total of 769 CHD and 132 stroke events were adjudicated, and 569 deaths up to and 66 after CHD or stroke occurred during follow-up. After adjustment for study country and cardiovascular risk factors, the hazard ratios of allcause mortality were 1.58 (95% confidence interval 1.18-2.12) after CHD and 3.13 (95% confidence interval 1.
ResultsMean age was 54.90 (SD 2.89) years. During follow-up, 741 men experienced CHD, 104 stroke, and 28 both events; 9551 remained free of CHD and stroke.
All-Cause Mortality RatesIn the period up to CHD and stroke, 569 deaths occurred, including 494 among men who remained free of CHD and stroke. In the period after CHD and stroke, 66 deaths occurred among 798 men who survived at least 28 days after their event.The crude annual all-cause mortality rates by study periods are reported in Table 1, overall and by subgroups.
Hazard Ratios of All-Cause MortalityAfter adjustment for cardiovascular risk factors and country (Model 1), hazard ratios of all-cause ...