“…Using the concept of felt precarity (e.g., Watson, 2016) to build on existing family stress models (e.g., McLoyd et al, 2014), we modeled relationships between mothers’ wages, emotional distress, parenting stress, discipline practices, and child behaviors. In keeping with evidence for a potential benefits cliff effect to wage increases (Joseph, 2018), we allowed for the possibility of both linear and nonlinear wage effects. Our hypotheses, identified in detail below, were that caregiver wages would have a negative and nonlinear relationship to caregiver emotional distress, and a negative and nonlinear relationship with parenting stress; that caregiver emotional distress would have a positive relationship with parenting stress; that parenting stress would have a positive relationship with harsh discipline and a negative relationship with positive discipline; that caregiver emotional distress would have a positive relationship with harsh discipline and a negative relationship with positive discipline; that harsh discipline would have a negative relationship with children’s behaviors; and that positive discipline would have a positive relationship with children’s behaviors.…”