1961
DOI: 10.1086/287794
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The Weight of Simplicity in the Construction and Assaying of Scientific Theories

Abstract: One of the most difficult and interesting problems of rational decision is the choice among possible diverging paths in theory construction and among competing scientific theories—i.e., systems of accurate testable hypotheses. This task involves many beliefs—some warranted and others not as warranted—and marks decisive crossroads. Suffice to recall the current conflict between the general theory of relativity and alternative theories of gravitation (e.g., Whitehead's) that account for the same empirical eviden… Show more

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Cited by 72 publications
(34 citation statements)
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“…My classification scheme has some commonalities with distinctions proposed in the literature (such asRudner 1961;Bunge 1961Bunge , 1962Hesse 1967;Baker 2011; Schulz 2012, among others), but given the different purposes and contexts, it is clearly different from them.…”
mentioning
confidence: 84%
“…My classification scheme has some commonalities with distinctions proposed in the literature (such asRudner 1961;Bunge 1961Bunge , 1962Hesse 1967;Baker 2011; Schulz 2012, among others), but given the different purposes and contexts, it is clearly different from them.…”
mentioning
confidence: 84%
“…But there are two fundamental problems: Firstly, it is very difficult to measure the simplicity of a particular explanation (see already Bunge, 1961). Secondly, it is by far not clear when two theories explain the same phenomena equally well.…”
Section: The Concept Of Deep Explanationsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Such polysemies in alethic epistemic values are probably the norm, making the problem even harder. The concept of simplicity in the context of epistemic appraisal, for instance, appears to be a mongrel concept that designates different syntactical, semantical, epistemological, practical and aesthetic properties of constructs [141,142]. Unfortunately, most philosophical theories (and other philosophical constructs) are informal and are yet to be expressed in the regimented languages required for such computations.…”
Section: Modelling Epistemic Appraisalmentioning
confidence: 99%