The variable choice set logit model applied to the 2004 Canadian election

Gallego, María; Schofield, Norman; McAlister, Kevin; Jeon, Jee Seon

doi:10.1007/s11127-013-0109-3

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Application Of the Variable Choice Logit Model To The Britis1

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Cited by 10 publications

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“…Indeed, as Gallego et al (2014) note, a natural solution to the problem with the random effects is the hierarchical Bayesian model. Despite being heavy "computationally," it provides a useful means to control for the unobserved randomness.…”

Section: Application Of the Variable Choice Logit Model To The Britismentioning

confidence: 99%

The Political Economy of Governance

Schofield

Caballero²

2015

Studies in Political Economy

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Section: Application Of the Variable Choice Logit Model To The Britismentioning

confidence: 99%

The Political Economy of Governance

Schofield

Caballero²

2015

Studies in Political Economy

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Does the 1 Person 1 Vote Principle Apply?

Turner

Schofield

Gallego

2015

Emerging Trends in the Social and Behavioral Sciences

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In this essay we address the puzzle that exists in American politics based on the tension of convergence to the electoral mean because of the MVT (mean voter theorem) and the studies showing divergence in candidate positioning. We provide a model in which voters and states are not treated equally because of vast regional differences. In contrast with the MVT, candidates who campaign in each state may converge to the national electoral mean while adopting diverging positions in different states, as they take differences in voter preferences and valences across states into account. At the state level, we show that while candidates give maximal weight in their policy position to pivotal voters, they give minimal weight to those voting for them with almost certainty; and that in their national position while candidates give maximal weight to swing states they give minimal weight to nonpivotal states. Something that remains hidden when differences across states are ruled out as they are in MVT. Then we adapt the variable choice set logit model of Gallego et al . (2013) to study the 2008 Presidential election and find that even though Obama's and McCain's position in swing states differs from the national electoral mean, their national position are close but on opposite sides of the national mean. Given the differential treatment candidates give voters and states in their national position, incorporating the Electoral College vote in the model, the “one person, one vote” principle may fail to obtain in the 2008 US Presidential election when candidates' valences and campaign spending differ across states.

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Application of the Variable Choice Logit Model to the British General Election of 2010

Labzina

Schofield

2015

The Political Economy of Governance

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The variable choice set logit model applied to the 2004 Canadian election

Cited by 10 publications

References 34 publications

The Political Economy of Governance

The Political Economy of Governance

Does the 1 Person 1 Vote Principle Apply?

Application of the Variable Choice Logit Model to the British General Election of 2010

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