Abstract:As reservoirs mature, subsurface flow complexity and surface production operation challenges increase. This brings the necessity of making capital-intensive decisions to sustain or increase reservoir potential in an optimum way. However, subsurface uncertainties affect decision success. Reservoir surveillance, a process that involves data acquisition, validation, analysis, integration opportunity generation and execution, can mitigate the outcome of such decisions in the presence of uncertainties.
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“…The main methods to improve oil recovery from fracture-cavity reservoirs have become water injection of a single well to replace oil, water injection of a fracture-vuggy unit to drive oil, nitrogen injection, foam flooding, and other development methods fracture-cavity (Farhadinia et al, 2011;Lyu et al, 2017;Su et al, 2017;Yue et al, 2018a;Hou et al, 2018;Sheng et al, 2019;Zheng et al, 2019). With the expanded development of fracture-cavity reservoirs, the identification of fractures and caverns has shifted from macroscopical division of fracturecavity units to detailed identification and characterization of interwell fracture-cavity composite structures to meet the needs of water/gas injection formulation, flow-channel adjustment, and other programs for tapping potential (Trice and C Reservoirs Ltd, 2005;Dittaro et al, 2007;Shbair et al, 2017;Alaa et al, 2018).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The characteristics of fracture-cavity reservoirs can be revealed by various monitoring data acquired from different angles, but the degree of reflection is variable, and these monitoring techniques often have certain limitations. Common monitoring data used to identify fractures or cavities, such as seismic, coring, conventional logging, image logging, drilling, and well testing, show large-scale and lowresolution results, or they only show results near a single well (Dittaro et al, 2007;Corbett et al, 2010;Wang et al, 2013;Shbair et al, 2017;Alaa et al, 2018;Wan et al, 2018;Lai et al, 2019;Tian et al, 2019;Wei et al, 2019). Dynamic production data can only be used to analyze interwell connectivity, and it is difficult to identify interwell fracture-cavity composite structures (Gazi et al, 2012;Zhao, 2017;Al-Obathani et al, 2018;Yue et al, 2018b).…”
Rapid and effective identification of interwell fracture-cavity composite structures is a necessary prerequisite for a detailed and in-depth understanding of interwell connectivity in fracture-cavity reservoirs. Current identification methods and technologies have the problems of being large-scale and low-resolution; in view of these problems, a method is proposed for rapidly identifying interwell fracture-cavity combination structures using tracer-curve morphological characteristics (peak number and characteristics of two wings). Based on concentration models of tracer curves for an interwell single fracture/pipe/cavity, the morphological characteristics of tracer curves were researched in five different series-parallel combination modes consisting of fractures, pipes, and cavities. The tracer curves of fracture-cavity reservoirs are categorized into three types: single sharp peak, single slow peak, and multipeak. Furthermore, a matching relationship between different fracture-cavity combination structures and the morphological characteristics of tracer curves is clarified. The single-sharp-peak curve with basically symmetrical wings reflects that of an interwell single fracture/pipe; the single-slow-peak curve with a steep ascending branch and a slow descending branch (obvious trailing phenomenon) reflects that of an interwell single cavity or fracture/pipe series cavity; the multipeak curve reflects that of an interwell multifracture/pipe/cavity in parallel; according to the flow difference of each branch flow channel, they can be divided into independent multipeak and continuous multipeak forms. Taking tracer monitoring results from a well group in the Tahe oilfield as an example, field application analysis and verification were carried out. The results show that this method is simple and reliable and can provide a fast and effective means for identifying interwell fracture-cavity combination structures. Meanwhile, the research results can lay a foundation for quantitative interpretation modeling of interwell tracers in fracture-cavity reservoirs considering fracture-cavity configuration.
“…The main methods to improve oil recovery from fracture-cavity reservoirs have become water injection of a single well to replace oil, water injection of a fracture-vuggy unit to drive oil, nitrogen injection, foam flooding, and other development methods fracture-cavity (Farhadinia et al, 2011;Lyu et al, 2017;Su et al, 2017;Yue et al, 2018a;Hou et al, 2018;Sheng et al, 2019;Zheng et al, 2019). With the expanded development of fracture-cavity reservoirs, the identification of fractures and caverns has shifted from macroscopical division of fracturecavity units to detailed identification and characterization of interwell fracture-cavity composite structures to meet the needs of water/gas injection formulation, flow-channel adjustment, and other programs for tapping potential (Trice and C Reservoirs Ltd, 2005;Dittaro et al, 2007;Shbair et al, 2017;Alaa et al, 2018).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The characteristics of fracture-cavity reservoirs can be revealed by various monitoring data acquired from different angles, but the degree of reflection is variable, and these monitoring techniques often have certain limitations. Common monitoring data used to identify fractures or cavities, such as seismic, coring, conventional logging, image logging, drilling, and well testing, show large-scale and lowresolution results, or they only show results near a single well (Dittaro et al, 2007;Corbett et al, 2010;Wang et al, 2013;Shbair et al, 2017;Alaa et al, 2018;Wan et al, 2018;Lai et al, 2019;Tian et al, 2019;Wei et al, 2019). Dynamic production data can only be used to analyze interwell connectivity, and it is difficult to identify interwell fracture-cavity composite structures (Gazi et al, 2012;Zhao, 2017;Al-Obathani et al, 2018;Yue et al, 2018b).…”
Rapid and effective identification of interwell fracture-cavity composite structures is a necessary prerequisite for a detailed and in-depth understanding of interwell connectivity in fracture-cavity reservoirs. Current identification methods and technologies have the problems of being large-scale and low-resolution; in view of these problems, a method is proposed for rapidly identifying interwell fracture-cavity combination structures using tracer-curve morphological characteristics (peak number and characteristics of two wings). Based on concentration models of tracer curves for an interwell single fracture/pipe/cavity, the morphological characteristics of tracer curves were researched in five different series-parallel combination modes consisting of fractures, pipes, and cavities. The tracer curves of fracture-cavity reservoirs are categorized into three types: single sharp peak, single slow peak, and multipeak. Furthermore, a matching relationship between different fracture-cavity combination structures and the morphological characteristics of tracer curves is clarified. The single-sharp-peak curve with basically symmetrical wings reflects that of an interwell single fracture/pipe; the single-slow-peak curve with a steep ascending branch and a slow descending branch (obvious trailing phenomenon) reflects that of an interwell single cavity or fracture/pipe series cavity; the multipeak curve reflects that of an interwell multifracture/pipe/cavity in parallel; according to the flow difference of each branch flow channel, they can be divided into independent multipeak and continuous multipeak forms. Taking tracer monitoring results from a well group in the Tahe oilfield as an example, field application analysis and verification were carried out. The results show that this method is simple and reliable and can provide a fast and effective means for identifying interwell fracture-cavity combination structures. Meanwhile, the research results can lay a foundation for quantitative interpretation modeling of interwell tracers in fracture-cavity reservoirs considering fracture-cavity configuration.
“…Grose and Smalley developed a risk-based surveillance planning method based on a value of information approach for data acquisition in producing fields (2017). Shabair et al (2017) discussed a practical implementation of value of information applied to a reservoir surveillance plan for a fractured carbonate under waterflooding. Similarly, Clemen (1996) and Suslick and Schiozer (2004) discussed applications and methods which enrich the VOI process.…”
The concept of value of information (VOI) has been widely used in the oil industry when making decisions on the acquisition of new data sets for the development and operation of oil fields. The classical approach to VOI assumes that the outcome of the data acquisition process produces crisp values, which are uniquely mapped onto one of the deterministic reservoir models representing the subsurface variability. However, subsurface reservoir data are not always crisp; it can also be fuzzy and may correspond to various reservoir models to different degrees. The classical approach to VOI may not, therefore, lead to the best decision with regard to the need to acquire new data. Fuzzy logic, introduced in the 1960s as an alternative to the classical logic, is able to manage the uncertainty associated with the fuzziness of the data. In this paper, both classical and fuzzy theoretical formulations for VOI are developed and contrasted using inherently vague data. A case study, which is consistent with the future development of an oil reservoir, is used to compare the application of both approaches to the estimation of VOI. The results of the VOI process show that when the fuzzy nature of the data is included in the assessment, the value of the data decreases. In this case study, the results of the assessment using crisp data and fuzzy data change the decision from "acquire" the additional data (in the former) to "do not acquire" the additional data (in the latter). In general, different decisions are reached, depending on whether the fuzzy nature of the data is considered during the evaluation. The implications of these results are significant in a domain such as the oil and gas industry (where investments are huge). This work strongly suggests the need to define the data as crisp or fuzzy for use in VOI, prior to implementing the assessment to select and define the right approach.Keywords Value of information · Fuzzy logic · Uncertainty and risk management · Oil and gas industry
Hydrocarbon field (re-)development projects require the evaluation of a large number of development options under uncertainty. Furthermore, information of data gathering programs might result in narrowing parameter ranges and change the choice of the preferred development option.
The large number of development options (and decisions accordingly) which have to be taken under uncertainty leads to the necessity to determine the impact of the decisions on the (re-)development project objective. Knowing the sensitivity of the decisions on the project objective (e.g. NPV) allows for resource and data acquisition planning. The impact of decisions on the project value can be determined by performing a Generalized Sensitivity Analysis. This analysis does not replace Value of Information but facilitates planning and allows focusing on important decisions.
To further improve Decision Analysis and focus on important parameters, a Generalized Sensitivity Analysis of uncertain parameters on decisions can be performed. The advantage of such an investigation over sensitivity analysis on Oil Originally in Place (OOIP) or Net Present Value (NPV) is that it includes parameter interactions. Furthermore, it covers the impact of a parameter on the decisions directly rather than indirectly when OOIP or NPV sensitivity is used.
The analysis is shown at an example project in a Decision Analysis framework. The use of decision impact evaluation and parameter assessment on decisions might lead to more focused and faster hydrocarbon field (re-)development project execution.
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