Abstract. The purpose of this study was to examine the associations between cardiopulmonary (CP) mortality and temperature in Canada. The recently developed statistical methodology was used. Mortality data (non-accidental death causes: CP and non-CP) recorded in 20 locations in Canada were used for the period of January 1, 1984 to December 31, 2007. Daily counts of deaths, temperature, and ozone levels were organized in the time-series data. Multivariate meta-analysis for non-linear multi-parameter associations was applied to estimate relative risk related to temperature exposure. Attributable mortalities related to heat and cold, with reference to optimum ambient temperature, associated with temperature were estimated by the locations. The study used the software elaborated in the R statistical language. The used statistical routines were developed by other authors. Attributable risks for temperature for CP mortality were estimated as: 7.6% (5.0, 9.6), 7.1% (4.6, 9.3), 0.5% (-0.1, 1.0) for global, cold and heat period, respectively.Keywords: Air pollution, cardiac, death, environment, mortality, respiratory, temperature
IntroductionThe presented analysis is based on recent advances in statistical methodology on complex associations between mortality and temperature. This work is a kind of review study -it uses existing software accompanying two published papers on the mortality and temperature [1][2]. As an alternative input data for this software, Canadian data on mortality and temperature in 20 locations are used. Climate change may result in variation of temperature levels. We might expect a shift of temperature from its accepted "normal" values or occurrences of unusual temperature sequences and events. A new pattern in temperature values, often their extreme values, raises important concerns for public health. Epidemiological studies have reported that extreme hot and cold temperatures have associations with an increase in daily emergency department (ED) visits, hospitalization, morbidity and mortality.In one such type of study, a non-parametric approach was proposed to cluster the days using 15 parameters [3]. There were considered five ambient air pollutants lagged by 0, 1 and 2 days. Thus each day was represented by a vector composed of 15 (3 lags for each of 5 air pollutants) values. Cluster algorithm allowed us to segregate the days into 8 different groups. The distribution of temperature was very different on the generated clusters. The "hot" and "cold" clusters were identified with the separation of temperature. Various health conditions (measured as ED visits) on the considered clusters have shown strong separations by their frequencies. The cluster with the largest number of days was used as the reference one. It is assumed that it represents the most common and frequent environment conditions. These types of results indicate that temperature affects health outcomes [3].
2Materials and Methods
Health DataMortality data were collected from 20 locations in Canada over the years 1984-2007 (24 years, ...