2011
DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2010.10.016
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The tax-spending nexus: Evidence from a panel of US state–local governments

Abstract: We re-examine the tax-spending nexus using a panel of 50 US state-local government units between 1963 and 1997. We find that, unlike tax revenues, expenditures adjust to revert back to a long-term equilibrium relationship. The evidence on the short-term dynamics is also consistent with the tax-and-spend hypothesis. One implication of this finding is that the size of the government at the state-local level is not determined by expenditure demand, but rather by resource supply. This is consistent with the fact t… Show more

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Cited by 26 publications
(16 citation statements)
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References 23 publications
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“…A number of empirical studies have evaluated the direction of causality between public revenues and expenditures. For example, Westerlund et al (2011) find evidence supporting the tax-and-spend hypothesis for 50 state-local government units in the US. This finding seems to be consistent with that of Narayan and Narayan (2006) who reported similar evidence for Chile, El Salvador, Haiti, Mauritius and Venezuela, and that by Eita and Mbazima (2008) for Namibia.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 82%
“…A number of empirical studies have evaluated the direction of causality between public revenues and expenditures. For example, Westerlund et al (2011) find evidence supporting the tax-and-spend hypothesis for 50 state-local government units in the US. This finding seems to be consistent with that of Narayan and Narayan (2006) who reported similar evidence for Chile, El Salvador, Haiti, Mauritius and Venezuela, and that by Eita and Mbazima (2008) for Namibia.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 82%
“…The study therefore, contrary to previous studies on the UK, support spend-tax hypothesis More also, Mahdavi and Westerlund [12] argued that most state and local governments in the U.S. operate under formal fiscal rules which limit their ability to run budget deficits and resort to debt financing, which support their evidence in favor of an intertemporally balanced budget, or fiscal sustainability, for the states, especially those characterized by a relatively high degree of fiscal stringency. In another related study, Westerlund, Mahdavi and Firoozi [13] re-examined tax-spending nexus using a panel of 50 US state and local government units and find that unlike tax revenues, expenditures adjust to revert back to a long-term equilibrium relationship. Their evidence on the short-term dynamics is also consistent with tax-and-spend hypothesis.…”
Section: Literature Reviewsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“… 16. Economists tend to think such variables are nonstationary (e.g., Westerlund, Mahdavi, and Firoozi 2011). Beck and Katz (2011) point out that some political variables, for example, vote shares that lie between 0 and 1, cannot be nonstationary, although shocks decay slowly, causing them to fail unit root tests.…”
mentioning
confidence: 99%