2021
DOI: 10.48550/arxiv.2110.09063
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The second moment of the size of the $2$-Selmer group of elliptic curves

Abstract: In this paper, we prove that when elliptic curves over Q are ordered by height, the second moment of the size of the 2-Selmer group is at most 15. This confirms a conjecture of Poonen and Rains.

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“…The parametrization in [Swa23] is explicitly leading-coefficient-dependent and is, thus, particularly well-suited for applications concerning binary forms with fixed leading coefficient. By generalizing an equidistribution argument that we developed in joint work with Bhargava and Shankar (see [BSS21], where we used the very same parametrization to determine the second moment of the size of the 2-Selmer group of elliptic curves), one can average the bounds in Theorems 1 and 2 over all leading coefficients and, thus, deduce analogues of these theorems for the full family of superelliptic equations of given degree. In this paper, we fix the leading coefficient for two reasons: doing so simplifies the orbit-counting and allows us to prove a stronger result, that within each thin subfamily of superelliptic equations with fixed leading coefficient, most members fail the Hasse principle.…”
Section: Methods Of Proofmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The parametrization in [Swa23] is explicitly leading-coefficient-dependent and is, thus, particularly well-suited for applications concerning binary forms with fixed leading coefficient. By generalizing an equidistribution argument that we developed in joint work with Bhargava and Shankar (see [BSS21], where we used the very same parametrization to determine the second moment of the size of the 2-Selmer group of elliptic curves), one can average the bounds in Theorems 1 and 2 over all leading coefficients and, thus, deduce analogues of these theorems for the full family of superelliptic equations of given degree. In this paper, we fix the leading coefficient for two reasons: doing so simplifies the orbit-counting and allows us to prove a stronger result, that within each thin subfamily of superelliptic equations with fixed leading coefficient, most members fail the Hasse principle.…”
Section: Methods Of Proofmentioning
confidence: 99%