Background
Risk stratification is a major challenge in bladder cancer (BC), and a biomarker is needed. Multiple studies report the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) as a promising candidate; however, these analyses have methodological limitations. Therefore, we performed a category B biomarker study. We tested whether NLR is prognostic for overall survival (OS) after curative treatment or predictive for the benefit from neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC).
Methods
We performed a secondary analysis of SWOG 8710—a randomized, phase III trial that assessed cystectomy ± NAC in 317 patients with muscle-invasive BC. We calculated NLR from prospectively collected complete blood counts. We identified 230 patients for the prognostic analysis and 263 for the predictive analysis. We evaluated NLR using proportional hazards models including pre-specified factors (age, gender, T-stage, lymphovascular invasion, treatment arm).
Results
With a median follow-up of 18.6 years, there were 172 and 205 deaths in the prognostic and predictive cohorts, respectively. On multivariable analysis, NLR was not prognostic for OS (HR 1.04, 95%CI [0.98–1.11], P=0.24). Furthermore, NLR did not predict for the OS benefit from NAC (HR 1.01, 95%CI [0.90 – 1.14], P=0.86). Factors associated with worse OS were older age (HR 1.05, 95%CI [1.04–1.07], P<0.001) and surgery without NAC (HR 1.39, 95%CI [1.03–1.88], P=0.03).
Conclusion
This is the first analysis of NLR in BC to use prospectively collected clinical trial data. In contrast to previous studies, it suggests NLR is neither a prognostic nor predictive biomarker for OS in muscle-invasive BC.
Trial Registration
clinicaltrials.gov Identifier NCT02756637 https://clinicaltrials.gov/show/NCT02756637