2010
DOI: 10.4319/lo.2010.55.3.1188
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The role of climate change in the occurrence of algal blooms: Lake Burragorang, Australia

Abstract: The three-dimensional hydrodynamic Estuary, Lake and Coastal Ocean Model (ELCOM) was coupled to the ecological Computational Aquatic Ecosystem Dynamics Model (CAEDYM) and to an underflow model to simulate the fate of the constituents from three flood underflow events in Lake Burragorang, Australia, in order to verify the changes in the hydrodynamical behavior that could lead to an algal bloom when the lake water level is low as a consequence of climate change. Simulated patterns of temperature, dissolved oxyge… Show more

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Cited by 48 publications
(24 citation statements)
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“…When the neutral buoyancy depth in the ambient is reduced, the entrainment into the underflow will reduce because the underflow will not travel as far before lifting away from the lake bed. All mixing processes that contribute substantially to dilution of a specific inflow must be represented accurately in a hydrodynamic model if it is to form a sound basis for pollutant transport or ecological analysis (Botelho and Imberger 2007;Rueda et al 2007;Vilhena et al 2010). Models of plunge region mixing are currently lacking and need to be further improved and validated (Dallimore et al 2004;Rueda and MacIntyre 2010).…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
See 1 more Smart Citation
“…When the neutral buoyancy depth in the ambient is reduced, the entrainment into the underflow will reduce because the underflow will not travel as far before lifting away from the lake bed. All mixing processes that contribute substantially to dilution of a specific inflow must be represented accurately in a hydrodynamic model if it is to form a sound basis for pollutant transport or ecological analysis (Botelho and Imberger 2007;Rueda et al 2007;Vilhena et al 2010). Models of plunge region mixing are currently lacking and need to be further improved and validated (Dallimore et al 2004;Rueda and MacIntyre 2010).…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The nutrient loading to a lake normally comes from river inflows, so the ecological response of the lake is very sensitive to changes in the inflow behavior (Rueda and MacIntyre 2009;Vilhena et al 2010;Marti et al 2011). Incorrect modeling of the dilution of an inflow can give rise to errors in both the intrusion depth and the availability of nutrients to the primary producers in the surface layer (Rueda et al 2007).…”
mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Similarly, it is highly uncertain which effects global change will have at the catchment scale, where increasing temperatures, changing land use and frequency of extreme events will lead to changing nutrient fluxes into the surface waters. A study on the influence of altered hydrological regimes brought about by shifting precipitation patterns in eastern Australia, using ELCOM-CAEDYM, has highlighted the potential significance of this on water quality processes (Vilhena et al 2010).…”
Section: Modelling the Impact Of Climate Change With Eutrophication Mmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Because of its negative effects on lake ecosystem services (Cronberg et al 1988, Hongve et al 1988, the Swedish Environmental Protection Agency treats this alga as a noxious species but currently lacks science-based information necessary for effective management. Because algal blooms will be of increasing management concern in a warmer future (Rabalais et al 2009, Vilhena et al 2010, water resource managers require information for local and regional conservation planning to mitigate negative ecological and socioeconomic impacts that can derive from the future range expansion of G. semen and other invasive species.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%