This chapter explores four interlinked scenarios about Myanmar's trajectory since the February 2021 military coup, with specific attention to plausible humanitarian conditions in the years ahead. The analysis draws on the erratic imbalance of forces, ideas, politics and strategies that have energised Myanmar's turbulence since the most recent coup and that, in many respects, influence the range of potential responses to the multiple, ongoing humanitarian crises. The examination of hypotheticals, such as these scenarios, requires attention to history, to current conditions and to foreseeable future outcomes. The scenarios are explored in the hope that, by better understanding recent events, we may be able to better appreciate future trajectories. The analysis highlights the intense challenges for any future Myanmar government and for international partners seeking to influence developments in a more positive direction.