The Rise of Social Spending, 1880-1930

Lindert, Peter H.

doi:10.1006/exeh.1994.1001

Cited by 344 publications

(172 citation statements)

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“…For instance, growth in the ageing population increases social expenditure, mostly on health and retirement pensions, forcing many governments to restructure their social policy due to financial constraints. Lindert (1994Lindert ( , 1996 shows that an increase in the size of the population aged over 65 in OECD countries has a strong positive effect on social spending, especially on pensions, and negative effects on education. Gonzalez-Eiras et al (2007: 24) apply an overlapping-generational model to disaggregated social spending in the United States.…”

Section: Demographic Determinants Of Social Spendingmentioning

confidence: 99%

Determinants of social spending in Latin America during and after the Washington consensus: a dynamic panel error-correction model analysis

Martín-Mayoral

Sastre

2017

Lat Am Econ Rev

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This paper examines the determinants of social spending in Latin America during the period 1990-2012 and how they differed between the years of the Washington Consensus (1990Consensus ( -2000 and the period that followed (2001)(2002)(2003)(2004)(2005)(2006)(2007)(2008)(2009)(2010)(2011)(2012). Special attention is also paid to the evaluation of convergence towards a common upper-bounded steady state (absolute beta convergence) or to specific steady states conditioned by their country's specific determinants (conditional beta convergence). We estimate a panel error-correction version of an autoregressive distributed lag model to identify the long-term relationships between social expenditure and its determinants. Generalised methods of moments estimators are used to control the endogeneity of the regressors. Results indicate that Latin American social spending follows a conditional beta convergence process over the Washington consensus period that was mainly driven by structural differences in fiscal burdens and external debt, while during the second period it was explained by conjunctural differences in the fiscal burden, GDP per capita and the growth of trade and capital openness.

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Section: Demographic Determinants Of Social Spendingmentioning

confidence: 99%

Determinants of social spending in Latin America during and after the Washington consensus: a dynamic panel error-correction model analysis

Martín-Mayoral

Sastre

2017

Lat Am Econ Rev

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“…Sin embargo, no hay acuerdo por qué debería producirlo. Algunos argumentos políticos resaltaron la relevancia de la movilización sobre clivajes estructurales, enfatizando la incorporación a la arena electoral de votantes de bajos ingresos (Lindert, 1994(Lindert, , 2004Meltzer;Richard, 1981) o la fortaleza relativa de la clase trabajadora (Esping-Andersen, 1990;Hicks, 1999;Korpi, 1980). 8 Según estos argumentos, la extensión del derecho al voto aumenta el gasto social (y la redistribución) porque supone la incorporación de nuevos electores de bajos ingresos, que son los que favorecen estas políticas.…”

Section: Los Determinantes Políticos Del Gasto Socialunclassified

COALICIONES ELECTORALES, ESTABILIDAD DEL GABINETE Y GASTO SOCIAL PROVINCIAL: los casos de Buenos Aires, Córdoba y San Luis (1993-2009)

González

Cáceres

2017

Cad. CRH

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Por que alguns governos gastam mais em bens públicos que outros? Por que o gasto social varia? Este trabalho explora alguns fatores-chave que explicam a variação no gasto social de províncias argentinas. Estudamos essas províncias porque elas têm grande autonomia na decisão sobre os montantes a serem definidos como gasto social e porque existe grande variação nesse montante. A partir de dados originais do orçamento das províncias argentinas entre 1993 e 2009 e utilizando estatísticas descritivas e análises de três casos-chave (as províncias de Buenos Aires, San Luís e Córdoba), mostramos que o gasto social cresce à medida que diminuem os custos da articulação da coalizão eleitoral e da coalizão de governo, bem como a alternância e a rotatividade de cargos-chave no governo. O artigo discute os resultados nas três províncias argentinas selecionadas e explora as implicações da discussão sobre os determinantes políticos do gasto social e o desenho de políticas sociais, especialmente em países em desenvolvimento e democracias federais.

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“…For earlier periods, the regression results of Lindert (1994), based on the 1880-1930 panel of 21 (mostly currently advanced) countries, indicate that aged countries tend to have large public spending on social transfers including pension and health subsidies, and low primary-and secondary-school enrollment rates.…”

Section: Population Aging and Gray Powermentioning

confidence: 99%

From duty to right: The role of public education in the transition to aging societies

Sugimoto

Nakagawa

2010

Journal of Development Economics

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This paper argues that the introduction of compulsory schooling in early industrialization promoted the growth process that eventually led to a vicious cycle of population aging and negative pressure on education policy. In the early phases of industrialization, public education was undesirable for the young poor who relied on child labor. Compulsory schooling therefore discouraged childbirth, while the accompanying industrialization stimulated their demand for education. The subsequent rise in the share of the old population, however, limited government resources for education, placing heavier …nancial burdens on the young. This induced further fertility decline and population aging, and the resulting cycle may have delayed the growth of advanced economies in the last few decades.

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The Rise of Social Spending, 1880-1930

Cited by 344 publications

References 0 publications

Determinants of social spending in Latin America during and after the Washington consensus: a dynamic panel error-correction model analysis

Determinants of social spending in Latin America during and after the Washington consensus: a dynamic panel error-correction model analysis

COALICIONES ELECTORALES, ESTABILIDAD DEL GABINETE Y GASTO SOCIAL PROVINCIAL: los casos de Buenos Aires, Córdoba y San Luis (1993-2009)

From duty to right: The role of public education in the transition to aging societies

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