The problems involved in trying to measure the effect of the budget
on the distribution of lifetime income are reviewed. A comparison is
made of the likely differences between the stylised facts of annual
incidence studies and the possible lifetime impact of the budget. Annual
studies show that redistribution to the poor occurs, primarily as a
result of pensions. It is likely that the lifetime incidence of the
budget is broadly neutral since pensions will not accrue mainly to the
lowest deciles when a lifetime income perspective is taken.